21 July 2026

Fenerbahçe vs Gornik Zabrze UEFA Champions League prediction & result

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Final score: Fenerbahçe 1-0 Gornik Zabrze.

Before kick-off the model made it 50% Fenerbahçe, 25% draw, 25% Gornik Zabrze — fair odds of 2.00, 4.00 and 4.00. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the exact scoreline.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Fenerbahçe at 50% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 630 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Talisca
37'
🔁N. Akeout: L. Mercan
46'
🔁B. Elmazout: M. Asensio
69'
🔁K. Akturkogluout: O. Aydin
69'
72'
🔁K. Urbanskiout: S. Liseth
72'
🔁Y. Ikia Dimiout: O. Zmrzly
76'
🔁M. Dietzout: B. Donio
🔁I. Kahveciout: M. Greenwood
83'
🔁Taliscaout: S. Cherif
87'
90+2'
🔁M. Khlanout: P. Warczak

Match stats — Fenerbahçe vs Gornik Zabrze

79%Possession21%
15Shots2
6On target1
9Corners2

Line-ups

Fenerbahçe 4-2-3-1
  • 34M. GunokG
  • 27N. SemedoD
  • 37M. SkriniarD
  • 15N. AkeD
  • 24J. OosterwoldeD
  • 6M. GuendouziM
  • 28B. ElmazM
  • 17I. KahveciM
  • 7FredM
  • 9K. AkturkogluM
  • 94TaliscaF
Substitutes
  • 31EdersonG
  • 13T. CetinG
  • 10M. AsensioM
  • 18M. MuldurD
  • 11M. GreenwoodF
  • 5I. YuksekM
  • 20A. MusabaF
  • 3A. BrownD
  • 26S. CherifF
Coach: Ismail Kartal
Gornik Zabrze 4-3-3
  • 1P. SchulzeG
  • 61M. SacekD
  • 26R. JanickiD
  • 20JosemaD
  • 64E. JanzaD
  • 18L. SadilekM
  • 66M. DietzM
  • 82K. UrbanskiM
  • 7Y. Ikia DimiF
  • 11E. PrekopF
  • 33M. KhlanF
Substitutes
  • 29W. KaniaG
  • 4P. BochniewiczD
  • 23S. LisethF
  • 21O. ZmrzlyD
  • 34B. DurdovF
  • 28B. DonioM
  • 2P. Warczak
  • 19Peter FedericoM
Coach: Michal Gasparik

Fenerbahçe and Gornik Zabrze in their domestic leagues

#TeamLeaguePWDLGFGAGDPts
20FenerbahçeUEFA Champions League10101101
1Gornik ZabrzeEkstraklasa7601148+618

Each side's position in its own domestic league today, not on the day of this match — they meet here from different competitions. Full tables: UEFA Champions League · Ekstraklasa

Head-to-head: Fenerbahçe vs Gornik Zabrze

  • 21 July 2026Fenerbahçe 1–0 Gornik ZabrzeUEFA Champions League

Leading scorers: Fenerbahçe and Gornik Zabrze

Fenerbahçe

  • Talisca4 goals
  • M. Greenwood2 goals2 assists
  • A. Brown2 goals

Gornik Zabrze

  • K. Urbański3 goals1 assists

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.