Gol Gohar
vs
ZOB Ahan
Persian Gulf Pro League prediction
Our model says: Gol Gohar 1–0 ZOB Ahan
The model makes it 53% Gol Gohar, 26% draw, 21% ZOB Ahan — fair odds of 1.89, 3.85 and 4.76. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0 (12%).
Expected goals: Gol Gohar 1.72, ZOB Ahan 0.88.
Both teams to score: 49%. Over 2.5 goals: 48%, under 2.5: 52%.
Model confidence: High — calls at this level have come off 59% of the time, over 1,566 settled matches.
Edge to Gol Gohar: the better side on the model's ratings, but not by much. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 54%, 26% were drawn and the underdog won 21%.
Published
Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 25 October 2026. Gol Gohar's rating is built from 34 Persian Gulf Pro League matches and ZOB Ahan's from 31, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most.
Key facts
- Gol Gohar are 8th on 13 points from 10 games; ZOB Ahan are 14th on 8 points from 10 games — Persian Gulf Pro League.
- Gol Gohar have won 2 of their last 5 games, most recently a 0-1 defeat at home to Kheybar Khorramabad.
- ZOB Ahan have not won in their last 5 games, most recently a 0-0 draw away to Aluminium Arak.
- Last 6 meetings: ZOB Ahan 4 wins to 1, 1 draw; the most recent, 6 November 2025, ended Gol Gohar 1–2 ZOB Ahan.
More Persian Gulf Pro League predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Gol Gohar vs ZOB Ahan
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Gol Gohar at 53% here. Across 4,776 settled matches (as of 25 October 2026), 1,179 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 56.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.4%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into Gol Gohar vs ZOB Ahan
Gol Gohar
Persian Gulf Pro League
- L0-1Kheybar Khorramabad23 October 2026
- L0-1away to Esteghlal FC19 October 2026
- W3-0Esteghlal Khuzestan8 October 2026
- W3-2away to Shams Azar Qazvin10 September 2026
- L0-1away to Tractor Sazi5 September 2026
ZOB Ahan
Persian Gulf Pro League
- D0-0away to Aluminium Arak23 October 2026
- L1-2Chadormalu SC18 October 2026
- L1-2Sepahan FC13 October 2026
- D1-1away to Nassaji Mazandaran8 October 2026
- L0-2away to Persepolis FC7 September 2026
What these results say
- Gol Gohar conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- ZOB Ahan did not win any of these 5 matches.
- ZOB Ahan conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Persian Gulf Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Gol Gohar | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 9 | +1 | 13 |
| 14 | ZOB Ahan | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 8 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: Gol Gohar vs ZOB Ahan
- 6 November 2025Gol Gohar 1–2 ZOB AhanPersian Gulf Pro League
- 29 March 2025Gol Gohar 0–2 ZOB AhanPersian Gulf Pro League
- 25 October 2024ZOB Ahan 0–2 Gol GoharPersian Gulf Pro League
- 1 June 2024Gol Gohar 1–2 ZOB AhanPersian Gulf Pro League
- 3 January 2024ZOB Ahan 0–0 Gol GoharPersian Gulf Pro League
- 7 April 2023ZOB Ahan 1–0 Gol GoharPersian Gulf Pro League
The two sides
Gol Gohar carry a model rating of 6.41 against 6.24 for ZOB Ahan. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
What the model expects
Under the hood the model expects 1.72 goals for Gol Gohar and 0.88 for ZOB Ahan. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Gol Gohar rate 0.65 in attack and 1.56 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; ZOB Ahan rate 0.47 and 1.63.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 2,309 correct results out of 4,819 settled predictions (48%), with 476 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Once the match starts, the win probabilities at the top update live from the score, the clock and any sendings-off.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Gol Gohar the highest probability at 53%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.72 expected goals for Gol Gohar against 0.88 for ZOB Ahan. Gol Gohar's attack/defence rating is 0.65/1.56 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.47/1.63 for ZOB Ahan.
How the model reaches 53% for Gol Gohar to win
Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 36% for Gol Gohar to win. Then home advantage adds 8 points, Gol Gohar's ratings take away 21 points and ZOB Ahan's ratings add 30 points, which lands on the published 53%.
- Two average sides, neutral ground36%
- Home advantage44%+8
- Gol Gohar's ratings23%−21
- ZOB Ahan's ratings53%+30
Each step adds one input to the step before. In another order the steps would differ in size; the end point would not.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.
Season stats
Gol Gohar at home · ZOB Ahan away
League matches only, Persian Gulf Pro League, this season. Rates are per game, since the two sides have not always played the same number; the tinted figure is the better one, where better is not a matter of taste. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Persian Gulf Pro League matches this season: Gol Gohar 10, ZOB Ahan 10.
Gol Gohar score most often in the 16–30 minute window (3 goals); ZOB Ahan have let in 1 there.
ZOB Ahan score most often in the 76–90 minute window (3 goals); Gol Gohar have let in 1 there.
Each cell counts the league goals that went in during that 15-minute window. Each side's goals sit above the goals its opponent has let in over the same minutes; the darker the cell, the more goals in that window. Stoppage time counts in the last window of its half. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match; own goals are not always counted on the same side as in the table, so a row can be a goal off it. Context, not a prediction.