4 September 2026, 16:00 UTC

Rustavi vs Dinamo Batumi Erovnuli Liga prediction & result

David Petriashvili Stadium, Tbilisi
Full time0 – 1

Final score: Rustavi 0-1 Dinamo Batumi.

Before kick-off the model made it 42% Rustavi, 30% draw, 28% Dinamo Batumi — fair odds of 2.38, 3.33 and 3.57. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Rustavi at 42% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Rustavi0%Draw4%Dinamo Batumi96%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

kevin ceijas
13'
mamuka kapanadze
21'
23'
Mamuka Kobakhidze
46'
🔁A. Eshetiyeout: I. Oulad Omar
48'
⚽T. Kirkitadzeassist: U. Mara
Yuta nakano
52'
🔁M. Kapanadzeout: S. Andghuladze
60'
🔁K. Ceijasout: K. Kakashvili
60'
60'
🔁L. Lakvekhelianiout: Y. Kalley
67'
🔁D. Mandricencoout: Maurides
73'
Luka Tsulukidze
73'
🔁L. Tsulukidzeout: A. Mylchenko
76'
Dirk Carlson
77'
Imran Omar Oulad
🔁A. Gujabidzeout: L. Parkadze
77'
82'
Yahya·Kalley
🔁Y. Nakanoout: M. Gambos
83'
🔁Jeanout: G. Chkheidze
83'

Match stats — Rustavi vs Dinamo Batumi

48%Possession52%
7Shots10
4On target2
6Corners3

Line-ups

Rustavi 4-3-3
  • 21P. BeruashviliG
  • 27M. KapanadzeD
  • 4David OliveiraD
  • 3V. PatsatsiaD
  • 19N. Chikovani
  • 22Y. NakanoM
  • 13A. GujabidzeM
  • 5K. CeijasF
  • 11S. KessiF
  • 10P. OseiF
  • 9JeanF
Substitutes
  • 31R. Dzhobava
  • 2S. AndghuladzeD
  • 8K. KakashviliM
  • 12T. TarkashviliD
  • 18N. JaparidzeF
  • 20L. ParkadzeM
  • 23M. GambosM
  • 24I. IakobidzeD
  • 30G. ChkheidzeF
Coach: Giorgi Tsetsadze
Dinamo Batumi 4-2-3-1
  • 13N. KalichavaG
  • 35R. ChiteishviliD
  • 23M. KobakhidzeD
  • 24D. CarlsonD
  • 12L. LakvekhelianiD
  • 8S. AltunashviliM
  • 16A. EshetiyeM
  • 22T. KirkitadzeF
  • 10U. MaraM
  • 20L. TsulukidzeM
  • 7D. MandricencoM
Substitutes
  • 30M. Turmanidze
  • 3A. GetiashviliD
  • 5Y. KalleyD
  • 6A. MylchenkoM
  • 9MauridesF
  • 14G. KokhreidzeM
  • 18I. Oulad OmarM
  • 32B. Baramidze
  • 39G. JaparidzeM
Coach: Giorgi Chiabrishvili

Form going into Rustavi vs Dinamo Batumi

Rustavi

All competitions we cover

  • D1-1away to Samgurali30 August 2026

Dinamo Batumi

All competitions we cover

  • W3-0Spaeri30 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Erovnuli Liga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
4Rustavi3015783626+1052
1Dinamo Batumi3016865337+1656

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

The result against the call

Dinamo Batumi won 1–0 at Rustavi. The model had leaned towards a win for Rustavi at 42% and given a win for Dinamo Batumi 28%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goal: T. Kirkitadze 48' for Dinamo Batumi.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.