23 July 2026, 18:00 UTC

NK Varazdin vs FK Jablonec UEFA Europa Conference League prediction & result

Stadion Varteks, Varaždin
Full time3 – 2

Final score: NK Varazdin 3-2 FK Jablonec.

Before kick-off the model made it 66% NK Varazdin, 24% draw, 10% FK Jablonec — fair odds of 1.52, 4.17 and 10.00. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

The tie

First leg of the UEFA Europa Conference League 2nd Qualifying Round tie. Second leg: FK Jablonec v NK Varazdin, 30 Jul →

FK Jablonec went through 4–3 on aggregate.

Has the model earned this number?

It puts NK Varazdin at 66% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 410 forecasts have landed in the 65–100% band; those outcomes actually happened 65.9% of the time, against an average forecast of 73.3%. In this range the model is over-confident, so read the figure above as optimistic rather than literal. The full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Aleksa Latković
5'
Luka Škaričić
15'
⚽I. Tavaresassist: I. Canjuga
24'
27'
⚽M. Cedidla
🔁E. Durakovicout: N. Tepsic
37'
46'
🔁H. Ahlout: A. Rusek
56'
⚽N. Tekijaskiassist: F. Novak
🔁L. Skaricicout: S. Lesjak
61'
🔁A. Latkovicout: M. Vuk
61'
⚽I. Mamutassist: I. Canjuga
68'
73'
🔁L. Jawoout: J. Chramosta
73'
🔁F. Zorvanout: S. Nebyla
79'
Vakhtang Chanturishvili
⚽L. Mamicassist: F. Maglica
82'
83'
🔁E. Sobolout: J. Slama
🔁I. Tavaresout: I. Posavec
87'
🔁T. Duvnjakout: M. Marina
87'
Ivan Mamut
90+3'
Josip Silić
90+1'
90'
🔁V. Chanturishviliout: D. Soucek

Line-ups

NK Varazdin 4-2-3-1
  • 33Josip SilićG
  • 23Frane MaglicaD
  • 14Roberto PunčecD
  • 4Luka ŠkaričićD
  • 3Elvir DurakovićM
  • 28Ivan CanjugaF
  • 8Tomislav DuvnjakM
  • 10Aleksa LatkovićM
  • 22Luka MamićM
  • 38Iuri TavaresM
  • 17Ivan MamutF
Substitutes
  • 16Novak TepšićD
  • 5Sven LesjakD
  • 7Matej VukM
  • 21Ivan PosavecM
  • 24Mario MarinaM
  • 1Oliver ZelenikaG
  • 13Mario MladenovskiD
  • 30Luka PosinkovicD
  • 6David PuclinM
Coach: Nikola Safaric
FK Jablonec 3-4-3
  • 1Jan HanušG
  • 18Martin CedidlaD
  • 4Nemanja TekijaškiD
  • 57Filip NovákD
  • 7Vakhtang ChanturishviliM
  • 6Nelson OkekeM
  • 13Richard SedláčekM
  • 23Eduard SobolM
  • 16Hugo AhlM
  • 44Lamin JawoF
  • 8Filip ZorvanM
Substitutes
  • 9Antonín RůsekF
  • 25Sebastian NebylaM
  • 19Jan ChramostaF
  • 20Jiří SlámaD
  • 14Daniel SoučekD
  • 99Klemen MihelakG
  • 15Dušan PavlovićD
  • 21Matěj PolidarM
  • 42Matej MalenšekM
Coach: Lubos Kozel

NK Varazdin and FK Jablonec in their domestic leagues

#TeamLeaguePWDLGFGAGDPts
3NK VarazdinHNL115331510+518
24FK JablonecUEFA Europa Conference League201123-11

Each side's position in its own domestic league today, not on the day of this match — they meet here from different competitions. Full tables: HNL · UEFA Europa Conference League

Leading scorers: NK Varazdin and FK Jablonec

NK Varazdin

GoalsAssists

  • L. Mamić40
  • I. Canjuga32

FK Jablonec

No player in UEFA Europa Conference League's leading scorers — 2 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

NK Varazdin beat FK Jablonec 3–2. The model had made a win for NK Varazdin its most likely outcome, at 66%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: I. Tavares 24' for NK Varazdin, M. Cedidla 27' for FK Jablonec, N. Tekijaski 56' for FK Jablonec, I. Mamut 68' for NK Varazdin, L. Mamic 82' for NK Varazdin.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.