Rapid
vs
Csikszereda
Liga I prediction
Our model says: Rapid 2–0 Csikszereda
The model makes it 69% Rapid, 20% draw, 11% Csikszereda — fair odds of 1.45, 5.00 and 9.09. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0 (14%).
Expected goals: Rapid 2.31, Csikszereda 0.63.
Both teams to score: 43%. Over 2.5 goals: 56%, under 2.5: 44%.
Model confidence: High.
One-sided: Rapid are clearly the stronger team on the model's ratings. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 68%, 20% were drawn and the underdog won 12%.
Published · updated
Key facts
- Rapid are 2nd on 24 points from 11 games; Csikszereda are bottom on 2 points from 12 games — Liga I.
- Rapid are unbeaten in their last 5 games (4 won), most recently a 4-3 win away to Universitatea Cluj.
- Csikszereda have not won in their last 5 games, most recently a 1-1 draw away to Oțelul.
- Last 5 meetings: Rapid 4 wins to 1, 0 draws; the most recent, 28 November 2025, ended Rapid 4–1 Csikszereda.
More Romanian Liga I predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Rapid vs Csikszereda
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Rapid at 69% here. Across 4,088 settled matches (as of 18 October 2026), 332 forecasts have landed in the 65–100% band; those outcomes actually happened 63.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 73.9%. In this range the model is over-confident, so read the figure above as optimistic rather than literal. The full record.
Form going into Rapid vs Csikszereda
Rapid
- W4-3away to Universitatea Cluj12 October 2026
- W3-1Arges Pitesti18 September 2026
- W2-1FC Voluntari12 September 2026
- W1-0away to Oțelul6 September 2026
- D1-1Universitatea Craiova31 August 2026
Csikszereda
- D1-1away to Oțelul16 October 2026
- L0-1Universitatea Craiova11 October 2026
- L0-2away to Petrolul Ploiesti21 September 2026
- L1-3Dinamo Bucuresti11 September 2026
- L1-5away to Uta Arad5 September 2026
What these results say
- Rapid went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
- Rapid scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Rapid won 4 of these 5 matches.
- Csikszereda did not win any of these 5 matches.
- Csikszereda conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Liga I table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Rapid | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 9 | +9 | 24 |
| 16 | Csikszereda | 12 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 25 | -18 | 2 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
What's at stake
Rapid
Chance to finish in the top four · 89% today
Csikszereda
Chance to finish in the bottom three · 97% today
From our Liga I season simulation: the rest of the season played out 10,000 times by the same model as the prediction above. Each figure is that side's chance once this match ends in a win, a draw or a defeat for it, with every other match still left to the model. Positions in the table, not competition rules: what a place is worth differs from league to league.
Head-to-head: Rapid vs Csikszereda
- 28 November 2025Rapid 4–1 CsikszeredaLiga I
- 25 July 2025Csikszereda 0–2 RapidLiga I
- 1 May 2021Rapid 2–0 CsikszeredaLiga II
- 6 April 2021Csikszereda 0–1 RapidLiga II
- 6 March 2021Rapid 1–3 CsikszeredaLiga II
Leading scorers: Rapid and Csikszereda
Rapid
GoalsAssists
- F. Stojilković31
Csikszereda
GoalsAssists
- M. Eppel40
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
A clear gap in the ratings
Rapid carry a model rating of 6.62 against 6.12 for Csikszereda. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
What the model expects
Under the hood the model expects 2.31 goals for Rapid and 0.63 for Csikszereda. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Rapid rate 0.78 in attack and 1.24 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Csikszereda rate 0.46 and 1.98.
The rest of the season
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives Rapid a 14.1% chance of the title and Csikszereda 0%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1,962 correct results out of 4,088 settled predictions (48%), with 410 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Once the match starts, the win probabilities at the top update live from the score, the clock and any sendings-off.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Rapid the highest probability at 69%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 2.31 expected goals for Rapid against 0.63 for Csikszereda. Rapid's attack/defence rating is 0.78/1.24 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.46/1.98 for Csikszereda.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.
Season stats
Rapid at home · Csikszereda away
League matches only, Liga I, this season. Rates are per game, since the two sides have not always played the same number; the tinted figure is the better one, where better is not a matter of taste. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Liga I matches this season: Rapid 11, Csikszereda 12.
Rapid score most often in the 76–90 minute window (6 goals); Csikszereda have let in 5 there.
Each cell counts the league goals that went in during that 15-minute window. Each side's goals sit above the goals its opponent has let in over the same minutes; the darker the cell, the more goals in that window. Stoppage time counts in the last window of its half. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match; own goals are not always counted on the same side as in the table, so a row can be a goal off it. Context, not a prediction.
The next 4 matches, by difficulty
Rapid
- at Farul Constanta7 Nov · Liga Iwin 41%
- at Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe21 Nov · Liga Iwin 44%
- vs FC Botosani28 Nov · Liga Iwin 55%
Csikszereda
- vs Universitatea Cluj7 Nov · Liga Iwin 23%
- vs Corvinul Hunedoara21 Nov · Liga Iwin 28%
- at FCSB28 Nov · Liga Iwin 16%
- vs Arges Pitesti5 Dec · Liga Iwin 31%
Each side's next matches on our board after this one. The colour is how strong the opponent is, from easier to harder as on the scale above: its model rating ranked among the teams of that competition, in fifths, so bright red is the top fifth whoever is playing it. The win figure is this side's own chance in that match, which is where venue and its own level come in. A match already on our board links to its own prediction; the rest follow as their week comes up.