23 July 2026, 17:00 UTC

Gais vs FC Nordsjaelland UEFA Europa Conference League prediction & result

Gamla Ullevi, Gothenburg
Full time1 – 0

Final score: Gais 1-0 FC Nordsjaelland.

Before kick-off the model made it 37% Gais, 24% draw, 39% FC Nordsjaelland — fair odds of 2.70, 4.17 and 2.56. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts FC Nordsjaelland at 39% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 1728 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽M. de Brienneassist: A. Wangberg
42'
William Milovanovic
60'
🔁M. Anderssonout: S. Jorgensen
60'
63'
🔁H. Rasmussenout: O. Solbakken
63'
🔁M. Brinkout: N. Rojkjaer
🔁J. Fagerjordout: H. Sletsjoe
68'
🔁S. Salterout: N. Vasic
69'
73'
🔁L. Sadioout: L. Nene
🔁O. Petterssonout: D. Collander
81'
🔁M. de Brienneout: R. Wendin Thomasson
81'

Match stats — Gais vs FC Nordsjaelland

40%Possession60%
16Shots10
4On target1
8Corners6

Line-ups

Gais 4-3-3
  • 1Mergim KrasniqiG
  • 6August WängbergD
  • 22Anes CardaklijaD
  • 4Oskar ÅgrenD
  • 2Matteo de BrienneD
  • 8William MilovanovicM
  • 7Joackim FagerjordM
  • 17Róbert Frosti ThorkelssonM
  • 16Max AnderssonF
  • 20Samuel SalterF
  • 32Oscar PetterssonF
Substitutes
  • 14Simon Girke JørgensenF
  • 10Henry SletsjoeM
  • 21Nikola VasicF
  • 5Robin Wendin ThomassonD
  • 34Dennis CollanderM
  • 13Kees SimsG
  • 30Adin TihicG
  • 12Robin FrejD
  • 24Filip BeckmanD
Coach: Fredrik Holmberg
FC Nordsjaelland 3-4-3
  • 13Andreas HansenG
  • 2Peter AnkersenD
  • 3Tobias SalquistD
  • 36Caleb YirenkyiD
  • 25Juho LähteenmäkiM
  • 18Justin JanssenM
  • 6Mark BrinkM
  • 23Runar Robinsonn NorheimM
  • 37Lamine SadioF
  • 40Hjalte Boe RasmussenF
  • 10Prince Amoako JuniorF
Substitutes
  • 8Nicklas RøjkjærM
  • 9Ola SolbakkenF
  • 17Levy NeneF
  • 31Andreas SøndenbroeG
  • 48Carl KristoffersenG
  • 15Stephen AcquahD
  • 28Markus WalkerD
  • 32Victor GustafsenD
  • 47Malte HeydeM
Coach: Jens Olsen

Form going into Gais vs FC Nordsjaelland

Gais

  • L0-2away to AIK Stockholm18 July 2026

FC Nordsjaelland

No earlier matches on record this season.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Gais and FC Nordsjaelland in their domestic leagues

#TeamLeaguePWDLGFGAGDPts
10GaisAllsvenskan217682520+527
3FC NordsjaellandSuperliga8521136+717

Each side's position in its own domestic league today, not on the day of this match — they meet here from different competitions. Full tables: Allsvenskan · Superliga

Head-to-head: Gais vs FC Nordsjaelland

  • 23 July 2026Gais 1–0 FC NordsjaellandUEFA Europa Conference League

Leading scorers: Gais and FC Nordsjaelland

Gais

  • S. Salter6 goals2 assists

FC Nordsjaelland

  • H. Boe Rasmussen3 goals1 assists

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.