23 July 2026, 17:00 UTC

Zimbru vs FC Noah UEFA Europa Conference League prediction & result

Stadionul Zimbru, Chisinau
Full time1 – 1

Final score: Zimbru 1-1 FC Noah.

Before kick-off the model made it 23% Zimbru, 44% draw, 33% FC Noah — fair odds of 4.35, 2.27 and 3.03. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 0-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts the draw at 44% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 1092 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽S. Bytcaassist: Caio Dantas
43'
45'
Stone Muzalimoja Mambo
46'
🔁A. Khamoyanout: B. Oddei
64'
🔁M. Gonzalezout: M. Lazetic
64'
🔁M. Jakolisout: V. Costache
🔁V. Stinaout: T. Ceijas
70'
🔁T. Butucelout: E. Cociuc
78'
🔁Caio Dantasout: Jonathas
78'
🔁Matteo Amorosoout: V. Raileanu
82'
🔁S. Bytcaout: A. Betivu
82'
83'
🔁G. Sangareout: G. Manvelyan
83'
🔁D. Sualeheout: H. Hambardzumyan
Thiago Ceijas
87'
88'
⚽V. Costacheassist: G. Manvelyan

Line-ups

Zimbru 4-1-4-1
  • 88Ivan DokićG
  • 77Serafim CojocariM
  • 23MarcelloD
  • 4Cristian GontaD
  • 35Nikolay ZolotovD
  • 7Tudor ButucelM
  • 73Ștefan BîtcaM
  • 14Rayvien RosarioF
  • 8Matteo AmorosoM
  • 7Caio DantasM
  • 98Victor StinaM
Substitutes
  • 24Thiago CeijasM
  • 10Eugeniu CociucM
  • 11Jonathas Abimael da Silva ConceiçãoM
  • 20Vlad RaileanuM
  • 99Alexandru BetivuF
  • 12Artem OdintsovG
  • 92Cristian SîrghiG
  • 2Ilie NegruD
  • 3Kevin BerkeleyD
FC Noah 4-2-3-1
  • 99Dani FigueiraG
  • 6Eric BoakyeD
  • 39Nathanaël SaintiniD
  • 4Stone Muzalimoja MamboD
  • 33David SualeheD
  • 23Aram KhamoyanM
  • 14Takuto OshimaM
  • 17Gustavo SangaréM
  • 7Hélder FerreiraM
  • 44Marin JakolišM
  • 9Mario GonzálezF
Substitutes
  • 98Brian OddeiM
  • 20Valentin CostacheM
  • 8Marko LazetićF
  • 19Hovhannes HambardzumyanD
  • 10Gor ManvelyanM
  • 29Arthur Luiz ConeglianG
  • 77Davit DavtyanG
  • 3Sergey MuradyanD
  • 5Mark AvetisyanD
Coach: Sandro Perkovic

Head-to-head: Zimbru vs FC Noah

  • 23 July 2026Zimbru 1–1 FC NoahUEFA Europa Conference League
Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.