23 July 2026, 17:00 UTC

Zimbru vs FC Noah UEFA Europa Conference League prediction & result

Stadionul Zimbru, Chisinau
Full time1 – 1

Final score: Zimbru 1-1 FC Noah.

Before kick-off the model made it 23% Zimbru, 44% draw, 33% FC Noah — fair odds of 4.35, 2.27 and 3.03. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 0-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

The tie

First leg of the UEFA Europa Conference League 2nd Qualifying Round tie. Second leg: FC Noah v Zimbru, 30 Jul →

FC Noah went through 3–2 on aggregate.

Has the model earned this number?

It puts the draw at 44% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽S. Bytcaassist: Caio Dantas
43'
45'
Stone Muzalimoja Mambo
46'
🔁A. Khamoyanout: B. Oddei
64'
🔁M. Gonzalezout: M. Lazetic
64'
🔁M. Jakolisout: V. Costache
🔁V. Stinaout: T. Ceijas
70'
🔁T. Butucelout: E. Cociuc
78'
🔁Caio Dantasout: Jonathas
78'
🔁Matteo Amorosoout: V. Raileanu
82'
🔁S. Bytcaout: A. Betivu
82'
83'
🔁G. Sangareout: G. Manvelyan
83'
🔁D. Sualeheout: H. Hambardzumyan
Thiago Ceijas
87'
88'
⚽V. Costacheassist: G. Manvelyan

Line-ups

Zimbru 4-1-4-1
  • 88Ivan DokićG
  • 77Serafim CojocariM
  • 23MarcelloD
  • 4Cristian GontaD
  • 35Nikolay ZolotovD
  • 7Tudor ButucelM
  • 73Ștefan BîtcaM
  • 14Rayvien RosarioF
  • 8Matteo AmorosoM
  • 7Caio DantasM
  • 98Victor StinaM
Substitutes
  • 24Thiago CeijasM
  • 10Eugeniu CociucM
  • 11Jonathas Abimael da Silva ConceiçãoM
  • 20Vlad RaileanuM
  • 99Alexandru BetivuF
  • 12Artem OdintsovG
  • 92Cristian SîrghiG
  • 2Ilie NegruD
  • 3Kevin BerkeleyD
FC Noah 4-2-3-1
  • 99Dani FigueiraG
  • 6Eric BoakyeD
  • 39Nathanaël SaintiniD
  • 4Stone Muzalimoja MamboD
  • 33David SualeheD
  • 23Aram KhamoyanM
  • 14Takuto OshimaM
  • 17Gustavo SangaréM
  • 7Hélder FerreiraM
  • 44Marin JakolišM
  • 9Mario GonzálezF
Substitutes
  • 98Brian OddeiM
  • 20Valentin CostacheM
  • 8Marko LazetićF
  • 19Hovhannes HambardzumyanD
  • 10Gor ManvelyanM
  • 29Arthur Luiz ConeglianG
  • 77Davit DavtyanG
  • 3Sergey MuradyanD
  • 5Mark AvetisyanD
Coach: Sandro Perkovic

The result against the call

Zimbru and FC Noah drew 1–1. The model had made a draw its most likely outcome, at 44%, so the call held; the score it named was 0–0. The goals: S. Bytca 43' for Zimbru, V. Costache 88' for FC Noah.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.