23 July 2026, 18:00 UTC

Beşiktaş vs FC Midtjylland UEFA Europa League prediction & result

Tüpraş Stadyumu, Istanbul
Full time1 – 0

Final score: Beşiktaş 1-0 FC Midtjylland.

Before kick-off the model made it 56% Beşiktaş, 21% draw, 23% FC Midtjylland — fair odds of 1.79, 4.76 and 4.35. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

The tie

First leg of the UEFA Europa League 2nd Qualifying Round tie. Second leg: FC Midtjylland v Beşiktaş, 30 Jul →

Beşiktaş went through 3–0 on aggregate.

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Beşiktaş at 56% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 1,294 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 57.0% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.4%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

15'
Friday Etim
18'
🔁V. Byskovout: D. Castillo
⚽O. Kokcuassist: V. Cerny
26'
46'
🔁Franculinoout: M. Erlic
62'
🔁D. Osorioout: Cho Gue-Sung
🔁I. Fakiliout: M. Rashica
63'
🔁Oh Hyeon-Gyuout: S. Kilicsoy
63'
🔁S. Ozcanout: K. Kayra Yilmaz
73'
🔁R. Yilmazout: K. Ouattara
73'
🔁T. Djaloout: E. Agbadou
78'
83'
🔁out: K. Watjen

Line-ups

Beşiktaş 4-1-4-1
  • 1A. NubelG
  • 62M. MurilloD
  • 35T. DjaloD
  • 53E. TopcuD
  • 33R. YilmazD
  • 6S. OzcanM
  • 18V. CernyM
  • 15J. OlaitanM
  • 10O. KokcuM
  • 29I. FakiliM
  • 9Oh Hyeon-GyuF
Substitutes
  • 80D. AlemdarG
  • 7M. RashicaM
  • 12E. AgbadouD
  • 22T. BulutD
  • 70A. S. BircanF
  • 65C. GurselD
  • 5A. HadziahmetovicM
  • 8K. Kayra YilmazM
  • 90S. KilicsoyF
Coach: Vincenzo Italiano
FC Midtjylland 4-3-3
  • 1E. OlafssonG
  • 5R. KristensenD
  • 3Lee Han-BeomD
  • 22M. B. SorensenD
  • 55V. BakM
  • 8P. BillingM
  • 19P. BravoM
  • 20V. ByskovM
  • 11D. OsorioM
  • 90F. EtimF
  • 7FranculinoF
Substitutes
  • 25N. BakkerG
  • 31L. SelinG
  • 6M. ErlicD
  • 10Cho Gue-SungF
  • 29K. WatjenM
  • 27S. JohannesenM
  • 18S. IheanachoM
  • 13A. GabrielD
  • 21D. CastilloM
Coach: Mike Tullberg

Leading scorers: Beşiktaş and FC Midtjylland

Beşiktaş

GoalsAssists

  • Oh Hyeon-Gyu21
  • A. Murillo20

FC Midtjylland

No leading scorers listed yet.

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Beşiktaş beat FC Midtjylland 1–0. The model had made a win for Beşiktaş its most likely outcome, at 56%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goal: O. Kokcu 26' for Beşiktaş. Sent off: Friday Etim (FC Midtjylland) 15'.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.