FC Isloch Minsk R.
vs
Torpedo Zhodino
Premier League prediction
Our model says: FC Isloch Minsk R. 2–0 Torpedo Zhodino
The model makes it 65% FC Isloch Minsk R., 21% draw, 14% Torpedo Zhodino — fair odds of 1.54, 4.76 and 7.14.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0 (12%).
Expected goals: FC Isloch Minsk R. 2.28, Torpedo Zhodino 0.78.
Both teams to score: 49%. Over 2.5 goals: 59%, under 2.5: 41%.
Model confidence: High — calls at this level have come off 61% of the time, over 2,123 settled matches.
One-sided: FC Isloch Minsk R. are clearly the stronger team on the model's ratings. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 68%, 20% were drawn and the underdog won 12%.
Published · updated
Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 11 November 2026. FC Isloch Minsk R.'s rating is built from 58 Belarusian Premier League matches and Torpedo Zhodino's from 58, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most.
Key facts
- FC Isloch Minsk R. are 2nd on 61 points from 28 games; Torpedo Zhodino are 8th on 36 points from 28 games — Premier League.
- FC Isloch Minsk R. are unbeaten in their last 5 games (5 won), most recently a 3-2 win away to Belshina.
- Torpedo Zhodino have won 2 of their last 5 games, most recently a 0-1 defeat away to Bate Borisov.
- Last 6 meetings: Torpedo Zhodino 3 wins to 2, 1 draw; the most recent, 5 July 2026, ended Torpedo Zhodino 0–2 FC Isloch Minsk R..
More Belarusian Premier League predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: FC Isloch Minsk R. vs Torpedo Zhodino
Has the model earned this number?
FC Isloch Minsk R. at 65%: of 501 settled 65–100% forecasts, 68.5% came in (average 72.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into FC Isloch Minsk R. vs Torpedo Zhodino
FC Isloch Minsk R.
Premier League
- W3-2away to Belshina7 November 2026
- W3-1Slavia Mozyr1 November 2026
- W1-0ML Vitebsk28 October 2026
- W6-0away to Naftan24 October 2026
- W4-2FC Minsk17 October 2026
Torpedo Zhodino
Premier League
- L0-1away to Bate Borisov7 November 2026
- W3-0Belshina1 November 2026
- L2-4away to Slavia Mozyr25 October 2026
- W1-0Naftan19 October 2026
- L0-2away to ML Vitebsk15 October 2026
What these results say
- FC Isloch Minsk R. won every one of these 5 matches.
- FC Isloch Minsk R. scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for FC Isloch Minsk R. had three goals or more.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Belarus Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | FC Isloch Minsk R. | 28 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 54 | 23 | +31 | 61 |
| 8 | Torpedo Zhodino | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 35 | 36 | -1 | 36 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
What's at stake
FC Isloch Minsk R.
Chance to finish top of the regular season · 15% today
From our Premier League season simulation: the rest of the season played out 10,000 times by the same model as the prediction above. How to read this.
Head-to-head: FC Isloch Minsk R. vs Torpedo Zhodino
- 5 July 2026Torpedo Zhodino 0–2 FC Isloch Minsk R.Premier League
- 21 February 2026FC Isloch Minsk R. 1–0 Torpedo ZhodinoFriendlies Clubs
- 23 November 2025Torpedo Zhodino 0–0 FC Isloch Minsk R.Premier League
- 28 June 2025FC Isloch Minsk R. 1–3 Torpedo ZhodinoPremier League
- 10 November 2024FC Isloch Minsk R. 0–1 Torpedo ZhodinoPremier League
- 23 June 2024Torpedo Zhodino 1–0 FC Isloch Minsk R.Premier League
The rest of the season
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives FC Isloch Minsk R. a 15.3% chance of the title and Torpedo Zhodino 0%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.
Team comparison
Each side's share of the two-team total. How to read this.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives FC Isloch Minsk R. the highest probability at 65%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 2.28 expected goals for FC Isloch Minsk R. against 0.78 for Torpedo Zhodino. FC Isloch Minsk R.'s attack/defence rating is 0.69/1.41 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.46/2.03 for Torpedo Zhodino.
How the model reaches 65% for FC Isloch Minsk R. to win
Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 36% for FC Isloch Minsk R. to win. Then home advantage adds 8 points, FC Isloch Minsk R.'s ratings add 11 points and Torpedo Zhodino's ratings add 10 points, which lands on the published 65%.
- Two average sides, neutral ground36%
- Home advantage44%+8
- FC Isloch Minsk R.'s ratings55%+11
- Torpedo Zhodino's ratings65%+10
Each step adds one input to the step before. How to read this.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.
Season stats
FC Isloch Minsk R. at home · Torpedo Zhodino away
League matches only, Premier League, this season; per game, from API-Football. How to read this.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Premier League matches this season: FC Isloch Minsk R. 28, Torpedo Zhodino 28.
Torpedo Zhodino score most often in the 76–90 minute window (8 goals); FC Isloch Minsk R. have let in 5 there.
League goals by 15-minute window, from API-Football. Context, not a prediction. How to read this.
Next match, by difficulty
FC Isloch Minsk R.
- at Bate Borisov28 Nov · Premier Leaguewin 52%
Torpedo Zhodino
- vs Baranovichi28 Nov · Premier Leaguewin 46%
Each side's next matches after this one, coloured by the opponent's strength. How to read this.