Belarusian Premier League predictions

16 matches ahead, from 10 October to 17 October, each with the model's win / draw / win split and most likely score. The clearest favourite: Dinamo Minsk, 61% against Arsenal Dzerzhinsk. 5 are marked Tight game — the two sides within 3 points, where the draw is a real outcome. How the model works.

Saturday 10 October — 8 matches

15:00 UTC FC Minsk vs Torpedo Zhodino — model 47% / 27% / 26%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.13 · 3.70 · 3.85.
15:00 UTC FC Vitebsk vs FC Isloch Minsk R. — model 35% / 30% / 35%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.86 · 3.33 · 2.86. Tight game · draw in reach
15:00 UTC FC Dnepr Mogilev vs Dinamo Minsk — model 22% / 28% / 50%, most likely 0-1, fair odds 4.55 · 3.57 · 2.00.
15:00 UTC Neman vs Baranovichi — model 49% / 28% / 23%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.04 · 3.57 · 4.35.
15:00 UTC Bate Borisov vs Slavia Mozyr — model 35% / 31% / 34%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.86 · 3.23 · 2.94. Tight game · draw in reach
15:00 UTC FC Gomel vs ML Vitebsk — model 36% / 30% / 34%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.78 · 3.33 · 2.94. Tight game · draw in reach
15:00 UTC Naftan vs Belshina — model 35% / 27% / 38%, most likely 1-2, fair odds 2.86 · 3.70 · 2.63. Tight game · draw in reach
15:00 UTC Arsenal Dzerzhinsk vs Dinamo Brest — model 31% / 27% / 42%, most likely 1-2, fair odds 3.23 · 3.70 · 2.38.

Saturday 17 October — 8 matches

15:00 UTC FC Dnepr Mogilev vs Bate Borisov — model 37% / 31% / 32%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.70 · 3.23 · 3.13.
15:00 UTC Torpedo Zhodino vs Naftan — model 56% / 23% / 21%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 1.79 · 4.35 · 4.76.
15:00 UTC Dinamo Brest vs FC Gomel — model 41% / 29% / 30%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.44 · 3.45 · 3.33.
15:00 UTC FC Isloch Minsk R. vs FC Minsk — model 50% / 27% / 23%, most likely 2-0, fair odds 2.00 · 3.70 · 4.35.
15:00 UTC Dinamo Minsk vs Arsenal Dzerzhinsk — model 61% / 23% / 16%, most likely 2-0, fair odds 1.64 · 4.35 · 6.25.
15:00 UTC Baranovichi vs FC Vitebsk — model 33% / 30% / 37%, most likely 0-1, fair odds 3.03 · 3.33 · 2.70.
15:00 UTC Belshina vs Slavia Mozyr — model 36% / 30% / 34%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.78 · 3.33 · 2.94. Tight game · draw in reach
15:00 UTC ML Vitebsk vs Neman — model 50% / 28% / 22%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.00 · 3.57 · 4.55.