Rangers vs Jagiellonia UEFA Europa League prediction & result
Final score: Rangers 1-1 Jagiellonia.
Before kick-off the model made it 33% Rangers, 21% draw, 46% Jagiellonia — fair odds of 3.03, 4.76 and 2.17.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
The tie
Second leg of the UEFA Europa League 3rd Qualifying Round tie. First leg: Jagiellonia 2–1 Rangers (6 Aug) →
Jagiellonia went through 3–2 on aggregate.
All Europa League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Jagiellonia at 46%: of 2,925 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Line-ups
- 1I. Pandur
- 21D. Sterling
- 37E. Fernandez
- 24O. Makhanya
- 17D. Yokota
- 43N. Raskin
- 6D. Neil
- 11T. Aasgaard
- 23D. Gassama
- 7L. Shankland
- 20R. Naderi
- 31L. Kelly
- 2R. McCrorie
- 8C. Barron
- 14C. Devlin
- 16L. Cameron
- 22V. Dragojevic
- 28B. Miovski
- 41Z. Hutton
- 42T. Chukwuani
- 50S. Abramowicz
- 15N. Wojtuszek
- 5B. Vital
- 4Y. Kobayashi
- 23G. Montoia
- 11J. Imaz
- 6T. Romanczuk
- 19A. Klynge
- 27R. Conceicao
- 99N. Prelec
- 7K. Szmyt
- 1M. Perchel
- 2C. Polak
- 8D. Drachal
- 9D. Rallis
- 10J. Agbonifo
- 17Y. Sylla
- 21S. Lozano
- 44A. Konstantopoulos
- 61B. Krasiewicz
Form going into Rangers vs Jagiellonia
Rangers
All competitions we cover
- L1-2Hibernian9 August 2026
- L1-2away to Jagiellonia6 August 2026
- D1-1away to Dundee United31 July 2026
Jagiellonia
All competitions we cover
- L0-2Widzew Łódź9 August 2026
- W2-1Rangers6 August 2026
- W2-1away to Motor Lublin31 July 2026
- W1-0Korona Kielce25 July 2026
What these results say
- Jagiellonia won 3 of these 4 matches.
- Jagiellonia scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Jagiellonia conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Rangers and Jagiellonia in their domestic leagues
| # | Team | League | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Rangers | Premiership | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 9 | +12 | 27 |
| 29 | Jagiellonia | UEFA Europa League | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 3 |
Each side's position in its own domestic league today, not on the day of this match — they meet here from different competitions. Full tables: Premiership · UEFA Europa League
Head-to-head: Rangers vs Jagiellonia
- 6 August 2026Jagiellonia 2–1 RangersUEFA Europa League
Leading scorers: Rangers and Jagiellonia
Rangers
GoalsAssists
- R. Naderi63
- K. Kelsy40
Jagiellonia
No player in UEFA Europa League's leading scorers — 4 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Rangers and Jagiellonia drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Jagiellonia at 46% and given a draw 21%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 5 matches like this one. The goals: L. Shankland (penalty) 19' for Rangers, N. Prelec 65' for Jagiellonia.