Polessya vs FC Copenhagen UEFA Europa Conference League prediction & result
Final score: Polessya 3-3 FC Copenhagen.
Before kick-off the model made it 42% Polessya, 29% draw, 29% FC Copenhagen — fair odds of 2.38, 3.45 and 3.45. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
The tie
First leg of the UEFA Europa Conference League 2nd Qualifying Round tie. Second leg: FC Copenhagen v Polessya, 29 Jul →
FC Copenhagen went through 5–4 on aggregate.
All Conference League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Polessya at 42% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Polessya vs FC Copenhagen
Line-ups
- 77Georgiy BushchanG
- 15Bogdan MykhaylichenkoD
- 44Sergiy ChobotenkoD
- 5Eduard SarapiiD
- 55Borys KrushynskyiD
- 18Oleksandr AndriyevskiyM
- 6Borel TomandzotoM
- 27Oleg FedorM
- 11Leandro AndradeF
- 95Igor KrasnopirF
- 7Oleksandr NazarenkoF
- 10Vladyslav VeletenM
- 45Maksym BragaruM
- 9Oleksandr FilippovF
- 14Lindon EmërllahuM
- 89Mykola HaiduchykF
- 1Oleg KudrykG
- 12Artur DrobotG
- 4Mykyta KravchenkoD
- 31Giorgi MaisuradzeD
- 31Rúnar Alex RúnarssonG
- 37Mustapha NyassiD
- 2Felix BeijmoD
- 4Munashe GaranangaD
- 20Junnosuke SuzukiD
- 15Marcos LópezD
- 10Mohamed ElyounoussiM
- 36William ClemM
- 21Mads Emil MadsenM
- 16RobertM
- 9Youssoufa MoukokoF
- 44Geovanni VianneyF
- 33Alex KrálM
- 14Andreas CorneliusF
- 34Marvin NasnasM
- 1Dominik KotarskiG
- 61Oscar Gadeberg BuurG
- 18Kenay MyrieD
- 40Henrik HaraldsenD
- 11Jordan LarssonF
Polessya and FC Copenhagen in their domestic leagues
| # | Team | League | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Polessya | Premier League | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 8 | +15 | 25 |
| 10 | FC Copenhagen | UEFA Europa Conference League | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | +3 | 4 |
Each side's position in its own domestic league today, not on the day of this match — they meet here from different competitions. Full tables: Premier League · UEFA Europa Conference League
Leading scorers: Polessya and FC Copenhagen
Polessya
GoalsAssists
- I. Krasnopir70
- V. Veleten30
- Leandro Andrade20
FC Copenhagen
GoalsAssists
- A. Cornelius52
- M. Elyounoussi43
- Robert41
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Polessya and FC Copenhagen drew 3–3. The model had leaned towards a win for Polessya at 42% and given a draw 29%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: Robert 4' for FC Copenhagen, I. Krasnopir 6' for Polessya, O. Fedor 36' for Polessya, Robert 54' for FC Copenhagen, M. Madsen 83' for FC Copenhagen, O. Filippov 88' for Polessya.