UEFA Europa Conference League · 2nd Qualifying Round · 28 July 2026, 17:00 UTC

Apollon Limassol vs Dila

Alphamega Stadium, Limassol

Full time3 – 0

Final score: Apollon Limassol 3-0 Dila.

Before kick-off the model made it 66% Apollon Limassol, 18% draw, 16% Dila — fair odds of 1.52, 5.56 and 6.25. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1 (9%).

Expected goals: Apollon Limassol 2.53, Dila 1.20.

Both teams to score: 65%. Over 2.5 goals: 72%, under 2.5: 28%.

Model confidence: High.

Model insights

65%

Both teams to score

72%

Over 2.5 goals

28%

Under 2.5 goals

Most likely scorelines2-1 9%3-1 8%2-0 8%

Match stats: Apollon Limassol vs Dila

Goals: B. Thomas 22' for Apollon Limassol, G. Rodrigues 62' for Apollon Limassol, D. Escriche 90' for Apollon Limassol.

Head-to-head: Apollon Limassol vs Dila

28 July 2026Apollon Limassol 1–0 DilaUEFA Europa Conference League
23 July 2026Dila 0–4 Apollon LimassolUEFA Europa Conference League

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.

Team comparison

Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.

Why the model favours this side

The model gives Apollon Limassol the highest probability at 66%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 2.53 expected goals for Apollon Limassol against 1.2 for Dila. Apollon Limassol's attack/defence rating is 0.66/1.62 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.53/2.03 for Dila.