28 July 2026, 17:00 UTC

Apollon Limassol vs Dila UEFA Europa Conference League prediction & result

Alphamega Stadium, Kolossi
Full time3 – 0

Final score: Apollon Limassol 3-0 Dila.

Before kick-off the model made it 51% Apollon Limassol, 24% draw, 25% Dila — fair odds of 1.96, 4.17 and 4.00. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Apollon Limassol at 51% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 630 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Dani Escriche
17'
⚽B. Thomas
22'
46'
🔁L. Menteshashviliout: A. Tall
🔁L. Konomisout: E. Aiwu
56'
🔁B. Thomasout: G. Rodrigues
56'
🔁A. Ozboltout: E. Andreou
56'
60'
🔁M. Kanteout: F. Nyenetue
60'
🔁O. Parulavaout: S. Shekiladze
⚽G. Rodriguesassist: I. Ljubic
62'
🔁I. Ljubicout: D. Spoljaric
68'
Gaetan Weissbeck
75'
75'
Giorgi Jalaghonia
75'
🔁G. Kobakhidzeout: B. Gogoberishvili
🔁G. Malekkidisout: K. Balogiannis
79'
84'
🔁B. Anoffout: M. Poeketie
⚽D. Escricheassist: B. Gaspar
90'

Line-ups

Apollon Limassol 4-3-3
  • 41P. LeeuwenburghG
  • 76B. GasparD
  • 37L. KonomisD
  • 44J. KvidaD
  • 14G. MalekkidisD
  • 5M. BrownM
  • 27G. WeissbeckM
  • 77I. LjubicM
  • 30D. EscricheF
  • 9A. OzboltF
  • 23B. ThomasM
Substitutes
  • 31K. StylianouG
  • 4E. AiwuD
  • 10G. RodriguesM
  • 11E. AndreouM
  • 17C. DuoduM
  • 18A. AthanasiouM
  • 19N. ZinonosD
  • 20D. SpoljaricM
  • 26A. ShikkisD
Coach: Hernan Losada
Dila 3-5-2
  • 1D. KereselidzeG
  • 2T. KikabidzeD
  • 33R. EtouD
  • 25L. YarbroughD
  • 16M. SanyangM
  • 8L. MenteshashviliM
  • 15G. KobakhidzeM
  • 17B. AnoffM
  • 14G. JalaghoniaD
  • 10O. ParulavaM
  • 9M. Kante
Substitutes
  • 12L. Sanikidze
  • 5M. PoeketieD
  • 7F. NyenetueM
  • 13Joao AraujoD
  • 19B. GogoberishviliM
  • 22S. ShekiladzeF
  • 27A. TallM
Coach: Levan Korghalidze

Form going into Apollon Limassol vs Dila

Apollon Limassol

  • W4-0away to Dila23 July 2026

Dila

  • L0-4Apollon Limassol23 July 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Head-to-head: Apollon Limassol vs Dila

  • 28 July 2026Apollon Limassol 3–0 DilaUEFA Europa Conference League
  • 23 July 2026Dila 0–4 Apollon LimassolUEFA Europa Conference League
Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.