Estrela vs Academico Viseu Primeira Liga prediction & result
Final score: Estrela 0-2 Academico Viseu.
Before kick-off the model made it 35% Estrela, 27% draw, 38% Academico Viseu — fair odds of 2.86, 3.70 and 2.63. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
It puts Academico Viseu at 38% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 3,919 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Estrela vs Academico Viseu
Line-ups
- 24Léo LinckG
- 21M. ScholzeD
- 5S. LekovićD
- 4Bernardo SchappoD
- 55Rafa SoaresD
- 78Santiago SerraM
- 39Eddy DoueM
- 99A. MarcusM
- 14L. ZvonarekM
- 10I. StoicaM
- 37L. AntonettiF
- 17Jefferson EncadaD
- 93B. SouzaM
- 8RobinhoM
- 51Diogo PintoG
- 71E. Pedro VangaM
- 49R. MutebaF
- 80AlissonF
- 22David GriloG
- 6K. Höög JanssonM
- 98EwertonG
- 75RobinhoD
- 41A. CorreiaD
- 2N. MichelisD
- 57G. CostaD
- 8C. KahramanM
- 7Luís SilvaM
- 31João GuilhermeM
- 14S. MesseguemM
- 47L. GohiM
- 33André ClóvisF
- 10Á. ZamoraF
- 9M. BouldiniF
- 3Miguel BrauD
- 17ValeryD
- 44Rúben PereiraD
- 5Pedro BarcelosD
- 22Nils MortimerF
- 45Alejandro MestanzaM
- 1Marcos LavínG
Form going into Estrela vs Academico Viseu
Estrela
Primeira Liga
- D3-3away to Rio Ave14 September 2026
- W2-1SC Braga10 September 2026
Academico Viseu
Primeira Liga
- W2-1Vitória SC12 September 2026
- W1-0away to GIL Vicente6 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Primeira Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Estrela | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 10 |
| 6 | Academico Viseu | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 11 | +2 | 17 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Estrela vs Academico Viseu
- 5 March 2023Academico Viseu 1–1 EstrelaSegunda Liga
- 12 September 2022Estrela 2–1 Academico ViseuSegunda Liga
- 5 March 2022Academico Viseu 0–4 EstrelaSegunda Liga
- 10 October 2021Estrela 4–0 Academico ViseuSegunda Liga
Leading scorers: Estrela and Academico Viseu
Estrela
GoalsAssists
- I. Stoica42
- A. Marcus41
- L. Antonetti41
Academico Viseu
GoalsAssists
- André Clóvis40
- João Guilherme30
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Academico Viseu won 2–0 at Estrela. The model had made a win for Academico Viseu its most likely outcome, at 38%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: André Clóvis 10' for Academico Viseu, André Clóvis 24' for Academico Viseu.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.