Santa Clara vs SC Braga Primeira Liga prediction & result
Final score: Santa Clara 0-0 SC Braga.
Before kick-off the model made it 40% Santa Clara, 30% draw, 30% SC Braga — fair odds of 2.50, 3.33 and 3.33. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
It puts Santa Clara at 40% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Santa Clara vs SC Braga
Line-ups
- 1Lucas FrançaG
- 42Lucas SoaresD
- 4Pedro PachecoD
- 21Emanuel FernandesD
- 5Guilherme RomãoD
- 8José Luís Rocha TavaresM
- 6Pedro FerreiraM
- 20Tiago RibeiroM
- 70Vinícius LopesF
- 9Gonçalo PaciênciaF
- 10Brenner Lucas Gonçalves SantosF
- 73Léo JacóF
- 18A. DuarteF
- 12NenecaG
- 22VitinhoM
- 11Welinton TorrãoF
- 25F. MedeirosF
- 80Tiago Ribeiro DuarteF
- 19YthalloD
- 7Luis Fernando Santos OliveiraF
- 31Bernardo FontesG
- 37A. BarišićD
- 6Vitor CarvalhoD
- 44A. BajramiD
- 2Víctor GómezM
- 8João MoutinhoM
- 29J. GorbyM
- 77Gabri MartínezM
- 10Pau VictorF
- 17J. MiloševićF
- 21Ricardo HortaF
- 78João CarvalhoG
- 23D. HuseinbašićM
- 16Tomás MarquésM
- 7Diogo TravassosD
- 9Fran NavarroF
- 19J. WindF
- 50Diego RodriguesM
- 11Gabriel SilvaF
- 34E. TıknazM
Form going into Santa Clara vs SC Braga
Santa Clara
Primeira Liga
- W2-1away to Arouca13 September 2026
- W4-0Rio Ave6 September 2026
SC Braga
Primeira Liga
- W1-0Estoril14 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Primeira Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Santa Clara | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 6 | +7 | 18 |
| 9 | SC Braga | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 11 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Santa Clara vs SC Braga
- 26 April 2026Santa Clara 2–1 SC BragaPrimeira Liga
- 15 December 2025SC Braga 1–0 Santa ClaraPrimeira Liga
- 29 October 2025SC Braga 5–0 Santa ClaraTaça da Liga
- 3 May 2025SC Braga 1–1 Santa ClaraPrimeira Liga
- 22 December 2024Santa Clara 0–2 SC BragaPrimeira Liga
Leading scorers: Santa Clara and SC Braga
Santa Clara
GoalsAssists
- Gonçalo Paciência51
SC Braga
GoalsAssists
- Pau Victor41
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Santa Clara and SC Braga drew 0–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Santa Clara at 40% and given a draw 30%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.