FC Schalke 04 vs SV Elversberg Bundesliga prediction & result
Final score: FC Schalke 04 0-0 SV Elversberg.
Before kick-off the model made it 42% FC Schalke 04, 29% draw, 29% SV Elversberg — fair odds of 2.38, 3.45 and 3.45. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts FC Schalke 04 at 42% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — FC Schalke 04 vs SV Elversberg
Line-ups
- 1L. KariusG
- 5T. BeckerD
- 25N. KatićD
- 4H. KuruçayD
- 29J. Dina EbimbeM
- 23S. El-FaouziM
- 13S. TanakaM
- 8R. GosensM
- 19K. KaramanM
- 24A. AouchicheM
- 10E. DžekoF
- 7Hwang Hee-ChanF
- 38L. VozarM
- 22K. MüllerG
- 9M. SyllaF
- 6R. SchallenbergM
- 39M. WöberD
- 20J. AdamuF
- 43M. AyhanD
- 33Vitalie BeckerD
- 20N. KristofG
- 30J. GyamerahD
- 19L. PinckertD
- 31M. RohrD
- 21L. GüntherD
- 43F. KeidelM
- 8Ł. PorębaM
- 25L. PetkovM
- 10Noah DarvichM
- 39William Cole CampbellM
- 42D. MokwaF
- 6A. CondéM
- 7M. KrattenmacherM
- 3F. Le JoncourD
- 2N. MickelsonD
- 40Francis-Ikechukwu OnyekaM
- 24L. SchnellbacherM
- 26L. SirchD
- 28T. BossG
- 9N. FutkeuF
Form going into FC Schalke 04 vs SV Elversberg
FC Schalke 04
Bundesliga
- W3-1away to Union Berlin11 September 2026
SV Elversberg
Bundesliga
- L1-2Bayern München13 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Bundesliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | FC Schalke 04 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 6 |
| 8 | SV Elversberg | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 10 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: FC Schalke 04 vs SV Elversberg
- 12 April 2026SV Elversberg 1–2 FC Schalke 042. Bundesliga
- 8 November 2025FC Schalke 04 1–0 SV Elversberg2. Bundesliga
- 18 May 2025FC Schalke 04 1–2 SV Elversberg2. Bundesliga
- 20 December 2024SV Elversberg 1–4 FC Schalke 042. Bundesliga
- 19 April 2024SV Elversberg 1–1 FC Schalke 042. Bundesliga
Leading scorers: FC Schalke 04 and SV Elversberg
FC Schalke 04
No player in Bundesliga's leading scorers — 4 league goals as a side.
SV Elversberg
GoalsAssists
- M. Krattenmacher31
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
FC Schalke 04 and SV Elversberg drew 0–0. The model had leaned towards a win for FC Schalke 04 at 42% and given a draw 29%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one.
How the call on FC Schalke 04 v SV Elversberg has moved
First published on 6 Sep at 37% / 30% / 33% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 5 updates, it read 42% / 29% / 29%: the biggest move is FC Schalke 04's chance of winning, up 5 points.
- FC Schalke 04 win42%▲ +5
- Draw29%▼ −1
- SV Elversberg win29%▼ −4
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.