Feyenoord vs Utrecht Eredivisie prediction & result
Final score: Feyenoord 5-0 Utrecht.
Before kick-off the model made it 49% Feyenoord, 28% draw, 23% Utrecht — fair odds of 2.04, 3.57 and 4.35. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Feyenoord at 49% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Feyenoord vs Utrecht
Line-ups
- 1T. ErnstG
- 26G. ReadD
- 4T. WatanabeD
- 6J. St. JusteD
- 35Mika MàrmolD
- 8G. ZechiëlM
- 34C. VanhoutteM
- 28O. TarghallineM
- 23A. Hadj-MoussaF
- 19Nacho FerriF
- 10L. ValenteF
- 20M. DeijlD
- 39L. BossinG
- 27G. DiarraF
- 33F. KastenmeierG
- 24T. KraaijeveldM
- 16Javi LópezD
- 17R. NelsonF
- 14S. SteijnM
- 22T. van den ElshoutM
- 1V. BarkasG
- 2S. HoremansD
- 3M. DiddenD
- 5N. PanagiotouD
- 23N. VesterlundM
- 20D. de WitM
- 34D. van den BergM
- 92A. ZagréM
- 11Ángel AlarcónF
- 9Artem StepanovF
- 15A. BlakeF
- 8J. van OvereemM
- 17S. van DuijnF
- 53F. PohlD
- 22S. PadtG
- 21N. Ogidi NwankwoD
- 6G. OfferhausD
- 18J. MedićD
- 33K. GadellaaG
- 47E. C. OwenF
Form going into Feyenoord vs Utrecht
Feyenoord
Eredivisie
- W7-0away to PEC Zwolle13 September 2026
Utrecht
Eredivisie
- W2-1away to Excelsior13 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Eredivisie table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Feyenoord | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 32 | 11 | +21 | 24 |
| 11 | Utrecht | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 12 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Feyenoord vs Utrecht
- 8 February 2026Utrecht 0–1 FeyenoordEredivisie
- 5 October 2025Feyenoord 3–2 UtrechtEredivisie
- 12 January 2025Feyenoord 1–2 UtrechtEredivisie
- 27 October 2024Utrecht 0–2 FeyenoordEredivisie
- 31 March 2024Feyenoord 4–2 UtrechtEredivisie
Leading scorers: Feyenoord and Utrecht
Feyenoord
GoalsAssists
- Nacho Ferri61
- A. Hadj-Moussa61
- G. Zechiël54
Utrecht
GoalsAssists
- Artem Stepanov50
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Feyenoord beat Utrecht 5–0. The model had made a win for Feyenoord its most likely outcome, at 49%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Anis Hadj Moussa 6' for Feyenoord, Nacho Ferri 9' for Feyenoord, Anis Hadj Moussa 33' for Feyenoord, Luciano Valente (penalty) 53' for Feyenoord, Gaoussou Kyassou Diarra 64' for Feyenoord.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.