Primeira Liga predictions & fixtures

Friday 9 October — 2 matches

17:45 UTC Moreirense vs GIL Vicente — model 33% / 31% / 36%, most likely 0-1, fair odds 3.03 · 3.23 · 2.78. Tight game · draw in reach
19:15 UTC SC Braga vs Sporting CP — model 33% / 28% / 39%, most likely 1-2, fair odds 3.03 · 3.57 · 2.56.

14:30 UTC Casa Pia vs Santa Clara — model 24% / 31% / 45%, most likely 0-1, fair odds 4.17 · 3.23 · 2.22.
17:00 UTC Maritimo vs FC Porto — model 17% / 24% / 59%, most likely 0-2, fair odds 5.88 · 4.17 · 1.69.
19:30 UTC Academico Viseu vs Estoril — model 46% / 29% / 25%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.17 · 3.45 · 4.00.

14:30 UTC Rio Ave vs Nacional — model 36% / 30% / 34%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.78 · 3.33 · 2.94. Tight game · draw in reach
17:00 UTC Benfica vs Vitória SC — model 64% / 22% / 14%, most likely 2-0, fair odds 1.56 · 4.55 · 7.14.
19:30 UTC Arouca vs Estrela — model 46% / 26% / 28%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.17 · 3.85 · 3.57.

19:15 UTC Famalicao vs Alverca — model 45% / 30% / 25%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.22 · 3.33 · 4.00.

19–20 September: the model called the result of 2 of 9 matches, 1 of them to the exact score.

GIL Vicente 1–1 Maritimo — the model said 48% / 28% / 24%, most likely 1-0: result missed.
Nacional 0–4 Famalicao — the model said 38% / 29% / 33%, most likely 2-1: result missed.
Alverca 1–0 Rio Ave — the model said 49% / 28% / 23%, most likely 1-0: exact scoreline.
Sporting CP 2–2 Arouca — the model said 46% / 30% / 24%, most likely 1-0: result missed.
Estrela 0–2 Academico Viseu — the model said 35% / 27% / 38%, most likely 1-2: result correct.
Vitória SC 1–1 Moreirense — the model said 48% / 29% / 23%, most likely 1-0: result missed.
Estoril 1–2 Casa Pia — the model said 39% / 31% / 30%, most likely 1-0: result missed.
Santa Clara 0–0 SC Braga — the model said 40% / 30% / 30%, most likely 1-0: result missed.
FC Porto 3–1 Benfica — the model said 35% / 26% / 39%, most likely 1-2: result missed.