Estrela

Estrela sit 12th in the Primeira Liga on 10 points from 11 matches, having scored 17 and conceded 22. On the model's scale they rate 0.94 in attack and 1.41 in defence (1.00 = an average top-flight side, lower defence is better), against Primeira Liga averages of 0.96 and 1.06: about average in attack, below it at the back. Across their last 5 league matches they have 5 defeats, most recently losing to Benfica 2-3 at home. That is 0.91 points a match, scoring 1.55 and conceding 2.00 per game across 2 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats. That leaves them 23 points behind FC Porto at the top, in a table of 18. Among the 18 rated sides in the division that is the 5th-best attack and the 16th-best defence. They scored in 2 of those 5 and kept 0 clean sheets. Next they host Portimonense in the Taça de Portugal on 22 November 2026, a match the model gives them 62%.

Model rating

One scale across every league we cover: 1.00 is an average top-flight side — how the ratings are built.

Next match: Estrela vs Portimonense

Estrela host Portimonense at Amadora on 22 November 2026, 18:00 UTC. The model makes it 62% Estrela, 22% draw and 16% Portimonense, with a most likely scoreline of 2-0. It projects 2.22 expected goals for Estrela against 0.87. Beyond the result it puts both teams to score at 52% and over 2.5 goals at 60%.

Full preview and model analysis for Estrela vs Portimonense

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