14 August 2026, 18:00 UTC

Dinamo Zagreb vs Rudes HNL prediction & result

Stadion Maksimir, Zagreb
Full time4 – 0

Final score: Dinamo Zagreb 4-0 Rudes.

Before kick-off the model made it 85% Dinamo Zagreb, 10% draw, 5% Rudes — fair odds of 1.18, 10.00 and 20.00.

Most likely scoreline: 3-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Dinamo Zagreb at 85%: of 501 settled 65–100% forecasts, 68.5% came in (average 72.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Dinamo Zagreb99%Draw1%Rudes0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽D. Beljoassist: S. Radeljic
6'
⚽L. Kacavenda
39'
50'
🔁Felipe Curcioout: V. Celjak
52'
Xavier Fernandes
56'
Stefan Vukić
58'
•Ante Sušak
60'
Ante Sušak
🔁J. Misicout: S. Dominguez
60'
🔁L. Kacavendaout: R. Mudrazija
60'
60'
🔁J. Blagaicout: V. Seitz
60'
🔁S. Vukicout: L. Ilecic
⚽D. Beljo (pen)
61'
⚽A. Hoxhaassist: R. Mudrazija
63'
🔁M. Zajcout: S. Sunta
65'
🔁D. Beljoout: S. Prevljak
65'
🔁F. Topicout: M. Lisica
72'
80'
Vid Seitz
85'
🔁Xaviout: D. Zivulic
85'
🔁J. Poldrugacout: J. Pejic
Sergi Domínguez
90+2'

Match stats — Dinamo Zagreb vs Rudes

64%Possession36%
24Shots9
13On target2
12Corners3
3.4xG0.39

Goals against chances

Dinamo Zagreb4 from 3.40 xGmore than the chances were worth
Rudes0 from 0.39 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Dinamo Zagreb 4-3-3
  • 33I. NevisticG
  • 13P. TabinasD
  • 15N. GalesicD
  • 6S. RadeljicD
  • 3B. GodaD
  • 80L. KacavendaM
  • 27J. MisicM
  • 8M. ZajcM
  • 30F. TopicF
  • 9D. BeljoF
  • 11A. HoxhaF
Substitutes
  • 1D. ZagoracG
  • 25M. ValincicD
  • 36S. DominguezD
  • 26S. McKennaD
  • 22M. Perez VinlofD
  • 20R. MudrazijaM
  • 21M. LisicaF
  • 41S. SuntaM
  • 99M. OrsicF
Coach: Mario Kovacevic
Rudes 4-2-3-1
  • 95L. RogicG
  • 14B. Unusic
  • 5M. StolnikD
  • 27Felipe CurcioD
  • 21A. SusakD
  • 28XaviM
  • 15N. SkokoM
  • 2T. KolegaM
  • 20J. BlagaicM
  • 11J. PoldrugacM
  • 9S. VukicF
Substitutes
  • 1F. HoljevacG
  • 32S. DuvnjakG
  • 92D. ZivulicD
  • 4V. CeljakD
  • 23A. UdovicicD
  • 10V. SeitzM
  • 25A. SpekuljukF
  • 7L. IlecicF
  • 17J. PejicF
Coach: Alen Peternac

Form going into Dinamo Zagreb vs Rudes

Dinamo Zagreb

All competitions we cover

  • W2-1away to Kauno Žalgiris11 August 2026
  • W5-0Kauno Žalgiris4 August 2026
  • W2-0NK Slaven Belupo31 July 2026
  • W3-2FC Thun28 July 2026
  • D1-1away to FC Thun21 July 2026

Rudes

All competitions we cover

  • L1-6NK Osijek8 August 2026
  • L1-2away to HNK Rijeka2 August 2026

What these results say

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

HNL table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
2Dinamo Zagreb128132815+1325
8Rudes135171627-1116

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Dinamo Zagreb vs Rudes

  • 26 May 2024Dinamo Zagreb 3–3 RudesHNL
  • 17 March 2024Rudes 0–3 Dinamo ZagrebHNL
  • 9 December 2023Dinamo Zagreb 1–0 RudesHNL
  • 24 September 2023Rudes 1–5 Dinamo ZagrebHNL
  • 16 December 2020Rudes 0–2 Dinamo ZagrebCup
  • 7 April 2019Rudes 0–2 Dinamo ZagrebHNL

Leading scorers: Dinamo Zagreb and Rudes

Dinamo Zagreb

GoalsAssists

  • D. Beljo136
  • L. Stojković32

Rudes

No player in HNL's leading scorers — 16 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Dinamo Zagreb beat Rudes 4–0. The model had made a win for Dinamo Zagreb its most likely outcome, at 85%, so the call held; the score it named was 3–0. The goals: D. Beljo 6' for Dinamo Zagreb, L. Kacavenda 39' for Dinamo Zagreb, D. Beljo (penalty) 61' for Dinamo Zagreb, A. Hoxha 63' for Dinamo Zagreb. Sent off: Ante Sušak (Rudes) 60'. On expected goals it finished 3.40–0.39.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.