NK Osijek vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb HNL prediction & result
Final score: NK Osijek 1-0 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb.
Before kick-off the model made it 66% NK Osijek, 20% draw, 14% NK Lokomotiva Zagreb — fair odds of 1.52, 5.00 and 7.14.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All Croatian HNL predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
NK Osijek at 66%: of 501 settled 65–100% forecasts, 68.5% came in (average 72.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — NK Osijek vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 31M. MalenicaG
- 77S. MustaficD
- 26L. JelenicD
- 49I. KolarikD
- 22R. JurisicD
- 23L. VrbancicM
- 39D. BukvicM
- 48J. JezicM
- 8S. MikolcicM
- 11N. OmerovicM
- 79A. LeonF
- 1N. CurcijaG
- 33E. HasicD
- 24L. PosavecD
- 47D. KalemD
- 67B. BaktiM
- 16O. PetrusenkoM
- 18N. FarkasM
- 17A. JakupovicF
- 7I. DolcekF
- 12J. PosavecG
- 5T. JukicD
- 21T. KralevskiD
- 4A. TriantafyllouD
- 14M. LorberM
- 8I. KaticM
- 10M. SuboticM
- 17M. PajacM
- 7D. VukovicF
- 11M. SusakF
- 24M. MaricF
- 32L. SavatovicG
- 20K. CabrajicD
- 27N. GodecD
- 29J. VasiljM
- 9L. BelcarM
- 6F. FetaiM
- 30D. ReicM
- 26D. Morina
- 16KaykeF
Form going into NK Osijek vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
NK Osijek
All competitions we cover
- W6-1away to Rudes8 August 2026
- W2-0away to HNK Gorica1 August 2026
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
All competitions we cover
- W3-1HNK Gorica8 August 2026
- W3-2away to Istra 19611 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
HNL table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | NK Osijek | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 18 | +4 | 20 |
| 9 | NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 11 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: NK Osijek vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
- 25 April 2026NK Osijek 0–0 NK Lokomotiva ZagrebHNL
- 21 February 2026NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 3–1 NK OsijekHNL
- 23 November 2025NK Osijek 1–1 NK Lokomotiva ZagrebHNL
- 31 August 2025NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 1–1 NK OsijekHNL
- 9 May 2025NK Osijek 1–1 NK Lokomotiva ZagrebHNL
Leading scorers: NK Osijek and NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
NK Osijek
GoalsAssists
- A. León61
- N. Omerović50
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
GoalsAssists
- D. Vuković32
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
NK Osijek beat NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 1–0. The model had made a win for NK Osijek its most likely outcome, at 66%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–0. The goal: A. Jakupovic 90' for NK Osijek. Sent off: Marko Pajač (NK Lokomotiva Zagreb) 90+5'. On expected goals it finished 1.70–0.92.