14 August 2026, 15:00 UTC

VPS vs Turku PS Finnish Premier League prediction & result

Lemonsoft Stadion, Vaasa
Full time1 – 3

Final score: VPS 1-3 Turku PS.

Before kick-off the model made it 40% VPS, 26% draw, 34% Turku PS — fair odds of 2.50, 3.85 and 2.94.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

VPS at 40%: of 2,925 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

VPS0%Draw1%Turku PS99%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

E. Okereke
28'
🔁J. Muzingaout: H. Salomaa
38'
45'
⚽T. Zaalassist: P. Juvanteny
O. Ogunniyi
45+2'
45+3'
⚽A. Muzaci (pen)
🔁A. Raisanenout: X. Odhiambo
46'
52'
C. Azongnitode
53'
P. Juvanteny
61'
🔁N. Taloout: M. Kauppila
X. Odhiambo
62'
75'
🔁K. Visserout: N. Veinbergs
75'
🔁P. Juvantenyout: L. Ikonen
75'
🔁M. Konkkolaout: L. Ivanovic
⚽X. Odhiamboassist: H. Salomaa
76'
🔁X. Odhiamboout: D. Terrnava
79'
🔁K. Kouassivi-Benissanout: C. Holmelund
79'
80'
⚽N. Veinbergsassist: M. Kauppila
🔁S. Lindholmout: Y. Daoussi
86'
E. Okereke
87'
E. Okereke
87'
90'
🔁T. Zaalout: T. Vakiparta

Line-ups

VPS 3-4-1-2
  • 41Mamadou JallohG
  • 2Lassana ManéD
  • 6Emmanuel OkerekeD
  • 19Martti HaukiojaD
  • 13Oluwaseyi OgunniyiD
  • 34Antti-Ville RäisänenM
  • 8Paulo LimaM
  • 7Jayden TurfkruierM
  • 27Kevin Kouassivi-BenissanM
  • 11Jonathan MuzingaF
  • 14Simon LindholmM
Substitutes
  • 25Henri SalomaaM
  • 20Xavier OdhiamboF
  • 17Dren TerrnavaM
  • 9Casper HolmelundF
  • 24Yassin DaoussiM
  • 12Lucas VäyrynenG
  • 3Razak SimpsonD
  • 23Miika NiemiD
  • 30Joonas VahteraM
Coach: Jussi Nuorela
Turku PS 4-1-4-1
  • 1Elmo HenrikssonG
  • 2Oscar HaggstromD
  • 15Charlemagne AzongnitodeD
  • 14Matej HradeckyD
  • 24Nikolas TaloD
  • 22Timo ZaalM
  • 10Marius KönkköläM
  • 6Pau JuvantenyD
  • 29Albijon MuzaciM
  • 11Elmer VauhkonenM
  • 99Kian VisserF
Substitutes
  • 20Miika KauppilaD
  • 26Lasse IkonenM
  • 9Luke IvanovicF
  • 44Nils VeinbergsF
  • 28Tomi VakipartaM
  • 30Niklas HarjuG
  • 17Atte SihvonenD
  • 7Rasmus HarjanneF
Coach: Ivan Pinol

Form going into VPS vs Turku PS

VPS

All competitions we cover

  • W3-1away to FF Jaro8 August 2026

Turku PS

All competitions we cover

  • D1-1away to KuPS9 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Head-to-head: VPS vs Turku PS

  • 30 May 2026Turku PS 1–0 VPSFinnish Premier League
  • 14 March 2026Turku PS 1–0 VPSFriendlies Clubs
  • 8 October 2021Turku PS 1–3 VPSYkkönen
  • 1 September 2021VPS 1–2 Turku PSYkkönen
  • 5 May 2021Turku PS 1–1 VPSYkkönen

Leading scorers: VPS and Turku PS

VPS

GoalsAssists

  • L. Smyth50

Turku PS

No leading scorers listed yet.

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Turku PS won 3–1 at VPS. The model had leaned towards a win for VPS at 40% and given a win for Turku PS 34%. The goals: T. Zaal 45' for Turku PS, A. Muzaci (penalty) 45+3' for Turku PS, X. Odhiambo 76' for VPS, N. Veinbergs 80' for Turku PS. Sent off: E. Okereke (VPS) 87'.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.