Dinamo Zagreb vs NK Slaven Belupo HNL prediction & result
Final score: Dinamo Zagreb 2-0 NK Slaven Belupo.
Before kick-off the model made it 73% Dinamo Zagreb, 17% draw, 10% NK Slaven Belupo — fair odds of 1.37, 5.88 and 10.00. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
It puts Dinamo Zagreb at 73% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 410 forecasts have landed in the 65–100% band; those outcomes actually happened 65.9% of the time, against an average forecast of 73.3%. In this range the model is over-confident, so read the figure above as optimistic rather than literal. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Dinamo Zagreb vs NK Slaven Belupo
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 44I. FilipovicG
- 13P. TabinasD
- 15N. GalesicD
- 6S. RadeljicD
- 22M. Perez VinlofD
- 27J. MisicM
- 30F. TopicM
- 7L. StojkovicM
- 80L. KacavendaM
- 11A. HoxhaM
- 9D. BeljoF
- 33I. NevisticG
- 8M. ZajcM
- 20R. MudrazijaM
- 3B. GodaD
- 21M. LisicaF
- 16R. TorrenteD
- 25M. ValincicD
- 36S. DominguezD
- 41S. SuntaM
- 30K. SenticG
- 18F. KruseljD
- 4D. KovacicD
- 5I. Cvetko
- 77I. UrataD
- 21L. CrepuljaM
- 22A. Adeshina
- 11J. MitrovicM
- 17F. MazarM
- 8L. BanovecM
- 90I. NestorovskiF
- 32I. CovicG
- 88D. BosakM
- 20M. PetrovicD
- 13A. BilobrkD
- 7M. DabroF
- 23A. JonssonM
- 28P. MaricF
- 24L. BosnjakM
- 45V. Papac
Form going into Dinamo Zagreb vs NK Slaven Belupo
Dinamo Zagreb
All competitions we cover
- W3-2FC Thun28 July 2026
- D1-1away to FC Thun21 July 2026
NK Slaven Belupo
No earlier matches on record this season.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
HNL table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Dinamo Zagreb | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 25 | 13 | +12 | 22 |
| 7 | NK Slaven Belupo | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 13 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Dinamo Zagreb vs NK Slaven Belupo
- 17 May 2026NK Slaven Belupo 1–4 Dinamo ZagrebHNL
- 14 March 2026Dinamo Zagreb 4–2 NK Slaven BelupoHNL
- 14 December 2025NK Slaven Belupo 2–5 Dinamo ZagrebHNL
- 28 September 2025Dinamo Zagreb 4–1 NK Slaven BelupoHNL
- 10 May 2025Dinamo Zagreb 5–0 NK Slaven BelupoHNL
- 9 March 2025NK Slaven Belupo 0–1 Dinamo ZagrebHNL
Leading scorers: Dinamo Zagreb and NK Slaven Belupo
Dinamo Zagreb
GoalsAssists
- D. Beljo125
- N. Galešić30
NK Slaven Belupo
GoalsAssists
- I. Nestorovski72
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Dinamo Zagreb beat NK Slaven Belupo 2–0. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for Dinamo Zagreb at 73%. The goals: D. Beljo 34' for Dinamo Zagreb, D. Beljo 52' for Dinamo Zagreb. On expected goals it finished 2.64–0.49.