Arges Pitesti vs Csikszereda Liga I prediction & result
Final score: Arges Pitesti 1-0 Csikszereda.
Before kick-off the model made it 57% Arges Pitesti, 27% draw, 16% Csikszereda — fair odds of 1.75, 3.70 and 6.25. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Arges Pitesti at 57% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 630 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Arges Pitesti vs Csikszereda
Line-ups
- 34Cătălin CăbuzG
- 23Florin BorțaD
- 6Mario TudoseD
- 3Leard SadriuD
- 2Costinel TofanD
- 27Rober SierraM
- 99Robert MoldoveanuM
- 16Ionuț RădescuM
- 22Vadim RațăM
- 7Michael IdowuF
- 92Taylor LuvamboF
- 96Silviu BalaureM
- 11Yanis PîrvuF
- 19Claudiu MicovschiF
- 15Guilherme GaruttiD
- 69Oluwatobiloba AlagbeD
- 31Matteo ȘerbanG
- 33Luca CrăciunG
- 4Evagoras AntoniouD
- 26Dorinel OanceaD
- 94Eduard PapG
- 3Raul PalmeșD
- 4Alex SzabóD
- 24János HegedűsD
- 6Lóránd PászkaD
- 8Szilárd VereșM
- 13Attila CsűrösM
- 11Anderson CearáM
- 18Mátyás TajtiM
- 55Darius BotaM
- 27Márton EppelF
- 20Efraim BödőM
- 79Szabolcs SzalayF
- 17Ádám CzékusF
- 77Albert StahlM
- 34Mark KaracsonyG
- 22Máté ÓdorD
- 29Răzvan TrifD
- 30Zsolt MagyarM
- 90Szabolcs NyitraM
Form going into Arges Pitesti vs Csikszereda
Arges Pitesti
- W1-0Petrolul Ploiesti24 July 2026
- L0-2away to FCSB17 July 2026
Csikszereda
- L0-2FCSB26 July 2026
- L0-3away to Corvinul Hunedoara20 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Liga I table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Arges Pitesti | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 11 |
| 16 | Csikszereda | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 21 | -15 | 1 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Arges Pitesti vs Csikszereda
- 6 December 2025Csikszereda 0–2 Arges PitestiLiga I
- 2 August 2025Arges Pitesti 3–1 CsikszeredaLiga I
- 18 May 2025Csikszereda 0–4 Arges PitestiLiga II
- 19 April 2025Arges Pitesti 3–0 CsikszeredaLiga II
- 26 August 2024Arges Pitesti 0–1 CsikszeredaLiga II
- 26 February 2024Csikszereda 2–1 Arges PitestiLiga II
Leading scorers: Arges Pitesti and Csikszereda
Arges Pitesti
- R. Moldoveanu3 goals
Csikszereda
- M. Eppel4 goals
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.