Valerenga
vs
Ham-Kam
The model makes it 63% Valerenga, 17% draw, 20% Ham-Kam — fair odds of 1.59, 5.88 and 5.00. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1 (8%).
Expected goals: Valerenga 2.84, Ham-Kam 1.62.
Both teams to score: 76%. Over 2.5 goals: 82%, under 2.5: 18%.
Model confidence: High.
Model insights
Head-to-head: Valerenga vs Ham-Kam
- 8 May 2026Ham-Kam 1–0 ValerengaEliteserien
- 19 October 2025Ham-Kam 2–1 ValerengaEliteserien
- 16 May 2025Valerenga 1–1 Ham-KamEliteserien
- 8 May 2024Valerenga 2–2 Ham-KamNM Cupen
- 26 November 2023Ham-Kam 0–2 ValerengaEliteserien
- 16 May 2023Valerenga 3–0 Ham-KamEliteserien
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Valerenga the highest probability at 63%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 2.84 expected goals for Valerenga against 1.62 for Ham-Kam. Valerenga's attack/defence rating is 0.86/1.68 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.69/1.75 for Ham-Kam.