HNK Gorica
vs
NK Osijek
The model makes it 34% HNK Gorica, 29% draw, 37% NK Osijek — fair odds of 2.94, 3.45 and 2.70. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
Expected goals: HNK Gorica 1.14, NK Osijek 1.20.
Both teams to score: 48%. Over 2.5 goals: 41%, under 2.5: 59%.
Model confidence: Low.
Model insights
Head-to-head: HNK Gorica vs NK Osijek
- 16 May 2026HNK Gorica 2–0 NK OsijekHNL
- 14 March 2026NK Osijek 0–0 HNK GoricaHNL
- 13 December 2025NK Osijek 1–1 HNK GoricaHNL
- 28 September 2025HNK Gorica 0–1 NK OsijekHNL
- 19 April 2025NK Osijek 0–1 HNK GoricaHNL
- 8 February 2025HNK Gorica 1–0 NK OsijekHNL
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives NK Osijek the highest probability at 37%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.14 expected goals for HNK Gorica against 1.2 for NK Osijek. HNK Gorica's attack/defence rating is 0.51/1.59 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.54/1.18 for NK Osijek.