HNL · Regular Season - 1 · 1 August 2026, 16:30 UTC

Istra 1961 vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb

Stadion Aldo Drosina, Pula

The model makes it 43% Istra 1961, 24% draw, 33% NK Lokomotiva Zagreb — fair odds of 2.33, 4.17 and 3.03. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

Expected goals: Istra 1961 1.75, NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 1.51.

Both teams to score: 65%. Over 2.5 goals: 63%, under 2.5: 37%.

Model confidence: Medium.

Model insights

65%
Both teams to score
63%
Over 2.5 goals
37%
Under 2.5 goals
Most likely scorelines1-1 11%2-1 9%1-2 8%

Head-to-head: Istra 1961 vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb

  • 11 April 2026NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 2–0 Istra 1961HNL
  • 30 January 2026Istra 1961 1–1 NK Lokomotiva ZagrebHNL
  • 25 October 2025NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 1–2 Istra 1961HNL
  • 9 August 2025Istra 1961 2–2 NK Lokomotiva ZagrebHNL
  • 3 May 2025NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 0–0 Istra 1961HNL
  • 4 March 2025Istra 1961 3–0 NK Lokomotiva ZagrebCup
Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.

Team comparison

Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.

Why the model favours this side

The model gives Istra 1961 the highest probability at 43%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.75 expected goals for Istra 1961 against 1.51 for NK Lokomotiva Zagreb. Istra 1961's attack/defence rating is 0.54/2.04 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.53/1.71 for NK Lokomotiva Zagreb.