First League · Regular Season - 3 · 31 July 2026, 18:15 UTC

CSKA 1948 vs Arda Kardzhali

Bistritsa Stadium, Sofia

The model makes it 61% CSKA 1948, 19% draw, 20% Arda Kardzhali — fair odds of 1.64, 5.26 and 5.00. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1 (9%).

Expected goals: CSKA 1948 2.43, Arda Kardzhali 1.36.

Both teams to score: 68%. Over 2.5 goals: 73%, under 2.5: 27%.

Model confidence: High.

Model insights

68%
Both teams to score
73%
Over 2.5 goals
27%
Under 2.5 goals
Most likely scorelines2-1 9%1-1 8%3-1 7%

Head-to-head: CSKA 1948 vs Arda Kardzhali

  • 22 November 2025Arda Kardzhali 3–0 CSKA 1948First League
  • 18 July 2025CSKA 1948 1–0 Arda KardzhaliFirst League
  • 3 March 2025Arda Kardzhali 1–0 CSKA 1948First League
  • 21 October 2024CSKA 1948 1–2 Arda KardzhaliFirst League
  • 20 May 2024Arda Kardzhali 0–0 CSKA 1948First League
  • 29 April 2024CSKA 1948 1–1 Arda KardzhaliFirst League
Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.

Team comparison

Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.

Why the model favours this side

The model gives CSKA 1948 the highest probability at 61%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 2.43 expected goals for CSKA 1948 against 1.36 for Arda Kardzhali. CSKA 1948's attack/defence rating is 0.76/1.54 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.63/1.69 for Arda Kardzhali.