Torpedo Kutaisi vs Dinamo Tbilisi Erovnuli Liga prediction & result
Final score: Torpedo Kutaisi 1-1 Dinamo Tbilisi.
Before kick-off the model made it 42% Torpedo Kutaisi, 27% draw, 31% Dinamo Tbilisi — fair odds of 2.38, 3.70 and 3.23. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Erovnuli Liga predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Torpedo Kutaisi at 42% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Torpedo Kutaisi vs Dinamo Tbilisi
Line-ups
- 1O. GoshadzeG
- 15L. KupravaD
- 4M. SimicD
- 22D. BukiaD
- 5T. NadaraiaD
- 11G. ArabidzeM
- 7V. MamuchashviliM
- 17N. LominadzeM
- 14Felipe PiresF
- 35D. DeisadzeM
- 9K. AndricF
- 31F. KljajicG
- 8M. ItrakM
- 19D. PertaiaM
- 20D. SkorupM
- 24L. LatsabidzeD
- 25G. GergedavaM
- N. Khatoyan
- 29M. ChitaishviliM
- 33M. StamatovD
- 20L. FloresG
- 17P. PsaltisD
- 27N. KurdicD
- 13M. PourzitidisD
- 4N. UgrekhelidzeM
- 24B. OseiM
- 23J. KankavaM
- 8WeltonM
- 6Leo SantosD
- 11M. VatsadzeF
- 14M. Do CoutoF
- 37M. MakatsariaG
- 7K. DoltmurzievF
- 26G. GoguaM
- 30G. Lomidze
- 32L. TsikoliaM
- 33L. HouriM
- 34M. GbomaduF
- 39K. KakashviliM
Form going into Torpedo Kutaisi vs Dinamo Tbilisi
Torpedo Kutaisi
All competitions we cover
- L0-2Meshakhte31 August 2026
Dinamo Tbilisi
All competitions we cover
- W2-1Dila31 August 2026
- L2-7away to FK Zalgiris Vilnius30 July 2026
- W3-0FK Zalgiris Vilnius23 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Erovnuli Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Torpedo Kutaisi | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 48 | 41 | +7 | 37 |
| 3 | Dinamo Tbilisi | 30 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 50 | 32 | +18 | 54 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: Torpedo Kutaisi and Dinamo Tbilisi
Torpedo Kutaisi
GoalsAssists
- K. Andrić82
- G. Arabidze58
- Felipe Pires30
Dinamo Tbilisi
GoalsAssists
- Rodrigo Silva Ramos22
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Torpedo Kutaisi and Dinamo Tbilisi drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Torpedo Kutaisi at 42% and given a draw 27%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: Felipe Pires 58' for Torpedo Kutaisi, K. Doltmurziev 71' for Dinamo Tbilisi.
How the call on Torpedo Kutaisi v Dinamo Tbilisi has moved
First published on 1 Sep at 40% / 29% / 31% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 2 updates, it read 42% / 27% / 31%: the biggest move is Torpedo Kutaisi's chance of winning, up 2 points.
- Torpedo Kutaisi win42%▲ +2
- Draw27%▼ −2
- Dinamo Tbilisi win31%=
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.