Jeonbuk Motors vs Pohang Steelers K League 1 prediction & result
Final score: Jeonbuk Motors 2-0 Pohang Steelers.
Before kick-off the model made it 44% Jeonbuk Motors, 31% draw, 25% Pohang Steelers — fair odds of 2.27, 3.23 and 4.00. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Jeonbuk Motors at 44% here. Across 3,056 settled matches (as of 6 October 2026), 1,425 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.8% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Jeonbuk Motors vs Pohang Steelers
Line-ups
- 31Song Bum-KeunG
- 77Kim Tae-HyeonD
- 4Cho Wi-JeD
- 2Kim Young-BinD
- 15Kim Ha-junD
- 16J. GamboaM
- 28Lee Yeong-JaeM
- 7Lee Dong-JunM
- 10Lee Seung-WooM
- 95ItaloM
- 9Tiago OroboF
- 1Lee Ju-hyeonG
- 3Yeon Je-WoonD
- 24Lee Sang-myung
- 66Choi Woo-JinD
- 6Maeng Seong-UngM
- 11Kim Seung-SubF
- 70H. Park
- 81G. PaulauskasF
- 99Bruno MotaF
- 29Hong Sung-min
- 2Eo Jeong-WonD
- 20Park Chan-YongD
- 4Jeon Min-kwangD
- 77WandersonD
- 31K. NishiyaM
- 40Ki Sung-YuengM
- 16Kim Dong-JinM
- 18Cho Sang-HyeokF
- 7Won Ki-JongF
- 70Hwang Seo-WoongF
- 1Yun Pyeong-GukG
- 3Kim Ye-Sung
- 5Jin Si-woo
- 14Lee Chang-WooD
- 17Shin Kwang-HoonD
- 8Kim Seung-HoM
- 11J. da Rocha JuniorF
- 25Jorge TeixeiraF
- 37Jung Han-MinF
Form going into Jeonbuk Motors vs Pohang Steelers
Jeonbuk Motors
- D1-1away to Incheon United30 August 2026
Pohang Steelers
- D0-0away to Gangwon FC30 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
K League 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Jeonbuk Motors | 30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 38 | 28 | +10 | 44 |
| 7 | Pohang Steelers | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 40 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: Jeonbuk Motors and Pohang Steelers
Jeonbuk Motors
- Tiago Orobó5 goals
- Lee Seung-Woo4 goals3 assists
Pohang Steelers
- Lee Ho-Jae4 goals
- J. Tranziska3 goals2 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.