FC Iberia 1999 vs Samgurali Erovnuli Liga prediction & result
Final score: FC Iberia 1999 2-1 Samgurali.
Before kick-off the model made it 46% FC Iberia 1999, 26% draw, 28% Samgurali — fair odds of 2.17, 3.85 and 3.57. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts FC Iberia 1999 at 46% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 1092 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into FC Iberia 1999 vs Samgurali
FC Iberia 1999
- L0-2away to Gagra31 August 2026
- L3-4away to Torpedo Kutaisi15 August 2026
Samgurali
- D1-1Rustavi30 August 2026
- W4-3away to Spaeri22 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Erovnuli Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | FC Iberia 1999 | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 33 | 27 | +6 | 40 |
| 7 | Samgurali | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 36 | 49 | -13 | 32 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table