FC Seoul vs Incheon United K League 1 prediction & result
Final score: FC Seoul 1-0 Incheon United.
Before kick-off the model made it 53% FC Seoul, 25% draw, 22% Incheon United — fair odds of 1.89, 4.00 and 4.55. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts FC Seoul at 53% here. Across 3,056 settled matches (as of 6 October 2026), 707 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 53.7% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.4%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — FC Seoul vs Incheon United
Line-ups
- 25Gu Sung-YunG
- 16Choi JunD
- 40Park Seong-hunD
- 37J. RosD
- 22Kim Jin-SuD
- 7Jeong Seung-WonM
- 8Lee Seung-MoM
- 6H. BabecM
- 10Anderson OliveiraM
- 42J. SonF
- 9P. KlimalaF
- 31Kang Hyeon-MuG
- 17Ahn Jae-minD
- 20Lee Han-DoD
- 66Park Soo-IlD
- 41Hwang Do-YunM
- 88Park Jang Han-GyeolM
- 27Moon Seon-MinF
- 11L. RuizF
- 19Cheon Seong-HoonF
- 1Kim Dong-HeonG
- 39Kim Myung-soonD
- 4Kim Gun-HeeD
- 2IbizaD
- 32Lee Ju-YongD
- 10Lee Dong-RyulM
- 15Seo Jae-MinM
- 26Lee Min-HyukM
- 23Jeong Chi-InM
- 72Lee Chung-YongF
- 9S. MugosaF
- 21Lee Tae-HuiG
- 13Choi Seung-guD
- 20Park Kyung-subD
- 11GersoF
- 17Kim Seong-MinM
- 30Kim Young-whanM
- 70Leandro RibeiroF
- 88Jung Won-JinM
- 99M. FerrierF
Form going into FC Seoul vs Incheon United
FC Seoul
- W5-2away to Gwangju FC30 August 2026
Incheon United
- D1-1Jeonbuk Motors30 August 2026
- L1-2away to FC Anyang26 August 2026
- W1-0away to Gwangju FC23 August 2026
- D1-1Gimcheon Sangmu FC16 August 2026
What these results say
- Incheon United scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- Incheon United failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
- Incheon United conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
K League 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Seoul | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 56 | 25 | +31 | 62 |
| 8 | Incheon United | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 36 | 33 | +3 | 39 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: FC Seoul and Incheon United
FC Seoul
- P. Klimala5 goals
- Lee Seung-Mo3 goals1 assist
Incheon United
- S. Mugoša9 goals
- M. Ferrier5 goals
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.