Meshakhte vs Spaeri Erovnuli Liga prediction & result
Final score: Meshakhte 2-2 Spaeri.
Before kick-off the model made it 41% Meshakhte, 32% draw, 27% Spaeri — fair odds of 2.44, 3.13 and 3.70. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Meshakhte at 41% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 1092 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Meshakhte vs Spaeri
Meshakhte
- W2-0away to Torpedo Kutaisi31 August 2026
- L0-1Dinamo Batumi21 August 2026
Spaeri
- L0-3away to Dinamo Batumi30 August 2026
- L3-4Samgurali22 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Erovnuli Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Meshakhte | 26 | 2 | 10 | 14 | 19 | 43 | -24 | 16 |
| 9 | Spaeri | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 25 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table