5 September 2026, 12:00 UTC

Meshakhte vs Spaeri Erovnuli Liga prediction & result

Agrano Vachadze Stadium
Full time2 – 2

Final score: Meshakhte 2-2 Spaeri.

Before kick-off the model made it 41% Meshakhte, 32% draw, 27% Spaeri — fair odds of 2.44, 3.13 and 3.70. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Meshakhte at 41% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Meshakhte4%Draw94%Spaeri2%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽I. Sikharulidzeassist: B. Gabiskiria
14'
Levan Kurdadze
16'
⚽G. Burduliassist: B. Gabiskiria
22'
36'
⚽S. Gegiadzeassist: G. Tsirdava
54'
⚽G. Samkharadzeassist: G. Tsirdava
🔁G. Burduliout: M. Kvirkvia
60'
🔁E. Jijavadzeout: T. Patsatsia
60'
63'
🔁N. Chagunavaout: B. Jibril
🔁I. Sikharulidzeout: G. Gogolashvili
68'
🔁L. Kurdadzeout: Eric Pimentel
68'
73'
🔁G. Tsetskhladzeout: Z. Basilashvili
🔁I. Zotkoout: M. Tereladze
76'
86'
🔁T. Tsalughelashviliout: O. Gordeziani
86'
🔁L. Kokhreidzeout: R. Injgia
90+1'
nikoloz kentchadze

Match stats — Meshakhte vs Spaeri

49%Possession51%
5Shots18
2On target10
3Corners7

Line-ups

Meshakhte 5-4-1
  • 29L. ShovnadzeG
  • 26B. GabiskiriaD
  • 20L. KurdadzeD
  • 38I. ZotkoD
  • 40L. UgrekhelidzeD
  • 16G. GegiaD
  • 30M. PyrogovM
  • 27G. KantariaM
  • 7E. Jijavadze
  • 13G. BurduliD
  • 9I. SikharulidzeF
Substitutes
  • 1L. TkeshelashviliG
  • 4M. TereladzeD
  • 8G. JamarauliM
  • 10G. GogolashviliF
  • 11M. KvirkviaF
  • 18T. PatsatsiaM
  • 22T. SikaloM
  • 24S. Chkhetiani
  • 31Eric PimentelD
Coach: Vladimer Burduli
Spaeri 3-4-3
  • 1B. PutkaradzeG
  • 20N. KentchadzeD
  • 31G. BunturiD
  • 14G. SamkharadzeD
  • 22N. ChagunavaD
  • 19G. TsirdavaF
  • 5T. TsalughelashviliM
  • 13S. MathenjwaD
  • 9G. TsetskhladzeF
  • 17L. KokhreidzeF
  • 7S. GegiadzeD
Substitutes
  • 23N. ChomakhidzeG
  • 3L. KachibaiaD
  • 4G. GrigalashviliM
  • 16S. DzneladzeD
  • 21O. GordezianiM
  • 24Z. GolubianiM
  • 25R. InjgiaF
  • 26B. JibrilF
  • 30Z. BasilashviliF
Coach: Anzor Kighuradze

Form going into Meshakhte vs Spaeri

Meshakhte

All competitions we cover

  • W2-0away to Torpedo Kutaisi31 August 2026

Spaeri

All competitions we cover

  • L0-3away to Dinamo Batumi30 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Erovnuli Liga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
10Meshakhte30311162349-2620
9Spaeri30512133849-1127

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

The result against the call

Meshakhte and Spaeri drew 2–2. The model had leaned towards a win for Meshakhte at 41% and given a draw 32%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: I. Sikharulidze 14' for Meshakhte, G. Burduli 22' for Meshakhte, S. Gegiadze 36' for Spaeri, G. Samkharadze 54' for Spaeri.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.