The model rates their attack at 1.39× the league average and their defence at 0.84× goals conceded, where 1 is average and a lower defensive figure is better — the model rates them above average at both ends. Next they travel to Norway in the UEFA Nations League on 24 September 2026, a match the model gives them 32%.
Model rating
How the model rates this team from its recent expected-goals output, relative to the league average — how the ratings are built.
Next match: Denmark vs Norway
Denmark travel to Norway on 24 September 2026, 18:45 UTC. The model makes it 32% Denmark, 28% draw and 40% Norway, with a most likely scoreline of 2-1. It projects 1.41 expected goals for Denmark against 1.74. Beyond the result it puts both teams to score at 63% and over 2.5 goals at 61%.
Full preview and model analysis for Denmark vs Norway