Gangwon FC vs Incheon United K League 1 prediction & result
Final score: Gangwon FC 0-0 Incheon United.
Before kick-off the model made it 37% Gangwon FC, 31% draw, 32% Incheon United — fair odds of 2.70, 3.23 and 3.13. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Gangwon FC at 37% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 3,919 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Gangwon FC vs Incheon United
Line-ups
- 1Park Cheong-HyoG
- 27Kim Do-HyunD
- 24Park Ho-YoungD
- 23M. TuciD
- 99Kang Joon-HyuckD
- 10Mo Jae-HyeonM
- 97Lee You-HyeonM
- 4Seo Min-WooM
- 7Kim Dae-WonM
- 96Choe Byeong-ChanF
- 11Goh Young-JunF
- 77A. HalaihalF
- 33Hong ChulD
- 3Jeong Seung-BinD
- 71Kang Seong-YunD
- 6Kim Dong-HyunM
- 9Kim Gun-HeeF
- 41K. SungG
- 19Park Sang-HyeokF
- 70J. SekidikaF
- 1Kim Dong-HeonG
- 39Kim Myung-SunD
- 28Kim YeonsooD
- 2Juan FernándezD
- 32Lee Ju-YongD
- 17Kim Seong-MinM
- 72Lee Chung-YongM
- 5Lee Myung-JooM
- 70Leandro RibeiroM
- 26Lee Min-HyeokF
- 9S. MugošaF
- 23Jeong Chi-InM
- 30Kim Young-WhanM
- 3Lee Sang-GiD
- 6Mun Ji-HwanM
- 7Oh Hu-SeongM
- 77Park Seung-HoF
- 8Iker UndabarrenaD
- 74Min-Jun WangG
- 11GersoF
Form going into Gangwon FC vs Incheon United
Gangwon FC
K League 1
- L0-1Jeju United FC20 September 2026
Incheon United
K League 1
- D1-1Daejeon Citizen20 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
K League 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Gangwon FC | 33 | 11 | 15 | 7 | 40 | 30 | +10 | 48 |
| 6 | Incheon United | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 43 | 35 | +8 | 46 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Gangwon FC vs Incheon United
- 2 May 2026Incheon United 0–1 Gangwon FCK League 1
- 6 October 2024Incheon United 1–3 Gangwon FCK League 1
- 30 June 2024Incheon United 0–1 Gangwon FCK League 1
- 21 April 2024Gangwon FC 4–1 Incheon UnitedK League 1
- 24 September 2023Gangwon FC 1–1 Incheon UnitedK League 1
Leading scorers: Gangwon FC and Incheon United
Gangwon FC
GoalsAssists
- A. Halaihal40
Incheon United
GoalsAssists
- S. Mugoša111
- M. Ferrier51
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Gangwon FC and Incheon United drew 0–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Gangwon FC at 37% and given a draw 31%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one.
How the call on Gangwon FC v Incheon United has moved
First published on 13 Sep at 43% / 29% / 28% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 4 updates, it read 37% / 31% / 32%: the biggest move is Gangwon FC's chance of winning, down 6 points.
- Gangwon FC win37%▼ −6
- Draw31%▲ +2
- Incheon United win32%▲ +4
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.