Dalian Zhixing vs Qingdao Jonoon Super League prediction & result
Final score: Dalian Zhixing 2-1 Qingdao Jonoon.
Before kick-off the model made it 47% Dalian Zhixing, 31% draw, 22% Qingdao Jonoon — fair odds of 2.13, 3.23 and 4.55. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
It puts Dalian Zhixing at 47% here. Across 3,056 settled matches (as of 6 October 2026), 1,425 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.8% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Dalian Zhixing vs Qingdao Jonoon
Line-ups
- 20Liu WeiguoG
- 38Lu ZhuoyiD
- 24Bi JinhaoD
- 2M. TraoreD
- 22W. MaoD
- 40Liao JintaoM
- 4I. AlimiM
- 9P. DelgadoM
- 10N. StanciuM
- 7Luo JingM
- 30F. AcheampongF
- 26Huang ZihaoG
- 33Cao HaiqingD
- 12Feng BoxuanD
- 15Wen JiabaoD
- 5Peng ShunjieD
- 21Lu PengM
- 8Zhang HuachenM
- 23Huang ShanM
- 6Song YueD
- 28Mu PengfeiG
- 16Li HailongD
- 3Liu JunshuaiD
- 23Song LongD
- 29Li SudaD
- 7Y. YeboahM
- 8Lin ChuangyiM
- 20Gong RuicongM
- 34Jin YonghaoM
- 10C. StrandbergF
- 9Liu XinyuF
- 43M. JapparG
- 14Sun Zheng'aoD
- 33Liu JiashenD
- 17Wang QiaoD
- 39S. LiD
- 31Luo SenwenM
- 24Ngan Cheuk-PanM
- 47Zheng CuanhuiM
- 22Yang CongF
Form going into Dalian Zhixing vs Qingdao Jonoon
Dalian Zhixing
- D1-1Beijing Guoan28 August 2026
- W1-0away to Chongqing Tongliang Long23 August 2026
- D1-1away to SHANGHAI SIPG19 August 2026
- L1-3away to Yunnan Yukun15 August 2026
Qingdao Jonoon
- L1-5Wuhan Three Towns29 August 2026
- L1-2away to SHANGHAI SIPG23 August 2026
- L1-3away to Shandong Luneng14 August 2026
- L0-1Shanghai Shenhua8 August 2026
What these results say
- Dalian Zhixing scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- Dalian Zhixing failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
- Dalian Zhixing conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Qingdao Jonoon did not win any of these 4 matches.
- Qingdao Jonoon conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
- Qingdao Jonoon scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Super League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Dalian Zhixing | 26 | 12 | 4 | 10 | 38 | 42 | -4 | 40 |
| 16 | Qingdao Jonoon | 26 | 6 | 3 | 17 | 34 | 53 | -19 | 14 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: Dalian Zhixing and Qingdao Jonoon
Dalian Zhixing
- N. Stanciu9 goals4 assists
Qingdao Jonoon
No player in Super League's leading scorers — 34 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.