SHANGHAI SIPG vs Beijing Guoan Super League prediction & result
Final score: SHANGHAI SIPG 0-0 Beijing Guoan.
Before kick-off the model made it 27% SHANGHAI SIPG, 27% draw, 46% Beijing Guoan — fair odds of 3.70, 3.70 and 2.17. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Chinese Super League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Beijing Guoan at 46% here. Across 3,056 settled matches (as of 6 October 2026), 1,425 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.8% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — SHANGHAI SIPG vs Beijing Guoan
Line-ups
- 1Yan JunlingG
- 8Jean ClaudeD
- 3Browning TyiasD
- 13Wei ZhenD
- 22A. Yang
- 21O. MelendoM
- 10Mateus VitalM
- 32Li ShuaiM
- 33Liu ZhurunF
- 45LeonardoF
- 17P. O. AmpemF
- 12Chen WeiG
- 4Wang ShenchaoD
- 28Yue XinD
- 5Zhang LinpengD
- 23Fu HuanD
- 6Zhang Yuan
- 20Yang ShiyuanD
- 47Kuai JiwenF
- 7Wu LeiF
- 34Hou SenG
- 21Yue Tze-NamD
- 27Wang GangD
- 5G. RamosD
- 26Bai YangD
- 18Wang YuM
- 17Yang LiyuM
- 37Cao YongjingM
- 7SerginhoM
- 10Zhang XizheM
- 9Zhang YuningF
- 33Abbas NureliG
- 4Li LeiD
- 30Fan ShuangjieD
- 47Deng JiefuD
- 36Jia FeifanM
- 24Abdugheni AbduhamitD
- 41Cheng XiM
- 50H. ZhangM
- 43X. XiaoyuM
Form going into SHANGHAI SIPG vs Beijing Guoan
SHANGHAI SIPG
- W1-0away to Sichuan Jiuniu28 August 2026
- W2-1Qingdao Jonoon23 August 2026
- D1-1Dalian Zhixing19 August 2026
- W3-2away to Wuhan Three Towns14 August 2026
Beijing Guoan
- D1-1away to Dalian Zhixing28 August 2026
- D3-3Yunnan Yukun22 August 2026
- W3-0away to Shanghai Shenhua18 August 2026
- W4-2away to Tianjin Teda15 August 2026
What these results say
- SHANGHAI SIPG went unbeaten through these 4 matches.
- SHANGHAI SIPG scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- SHANGHAI SIPG won 3 of these 4 matches.
- Beijing Guoan went unbeaten through these 4 matches.
- Beijing Guoan scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- Beijing Guoan conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Super League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | SHANGHAI SIPG | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 40 | 33 | +7 | 33 |
| 3 | Beijing Guoan | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 49 | 33 | +16 | 38 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: SHANGHAI SIPG and Beijing Guoan
SHANGHAI SIPG
No player in Super League's leading scorers — 40 league goals as a side.
Beijing Guoan
- Zhang Yuning12 goals6 assists
- Fábio Abreu9 goals6 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.