Czechia vs England UEFA Nations League prediction & result
Final score: Czechia 0-2 England.
Before kick-off the model made it 17% Czechia, 23% draw, 60% England — fair odds of 5.88, 4.35 and 1.67. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 0-2.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
All Nations League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts England at 60% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 1,294 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 57.0% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.4%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Czechia vs England
Line-ups
- 1M. KovářG
- 6Š. ChaloupekD
- 4R. HranáčD
- 7L. KrejčíD
- 5J. SlámaD
- 8M. SadílekM
- 12L. ČervM
- 18M. RadostaM
- 15P. ŠulcM
- 9A. KarabecM
- 10A. HložekF
- 17P. BuchaM
- 13L. AmbrosM
- 16L. HorníčekG
- 23A. KinskýG
- 21A. KrálM
- 2O. KričfalušiD
- 20O. LingrM
- 19R. MacekM
- 22M. SáčekD
- 13J. TraffordG
- 2T. Alexander-ArnoldD
- 12T. ChalobahD
- 6M. GuéhiD
- 3L. HallD
- 8E. AndersonM
- 16M. Lewis-SkellyM
- 7B. SakaM
- 17M. RogersM
- 11A. GordonM
- 9H. KaneF
- 23J. SteeleG
- 4A. ScottM
- 22J. QuansahD
- 1J. PickfordG
- 14R. NgumohaF
- 5E. KonsaD
- 20M. Gibbs-WhiteM
- 18J. GarnerM
- 21E. EzeM
Form going into Czechia vs England
Czechia
UEFA Nations League
- L1-2Croatia26 September 2026
England
UEFA Nations League
- L2-3Spain26 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
UEFA Nations League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Czechia | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 10 | -8 | 0 |
| 2 | England | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 3 | +11 | 9 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Czechia vs England
- 22 June 2021Czechia 0–1 EnglandEuro Championship
- 11 October 2019Czechia 2–1 EnglandEuro Championship
- 22 March 2019England 5–0 CzechiaEuro Championship
Leading scorers: Czechia and England
Czechia
No player in UEFA Nations League's leading scorers — 2 league goals as a side.
England
GoalsAssists
- H. Kane61
- A. Gordon31
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
England won 2–0 at Czechia. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for England at 60%. The goals: Anthony Gordon 47' for England, Harry Kane 69' for England. Sent off: Pavel Šulc (Czechia) 25'.