10 October 2026, 11:35 UTC

Chengdu Better City vs Tianjin Teda Super League prediction & result

Chengdu Phoenix Hill Sports Park, Chengdu
Referee: Kim Hee-gon, South Korea
Full time0 – 1

Final score: Chengdu Better City 0-1 Tianjin Teda.

Before kick-off the model made it 49% Chengdu Better City, 27% draw, 24% Tianjin Teda — fair odds of 2.04, 3.70 and 4.17.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Chengdu Better City at 49%: of 2,925 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Chengdu Better City5%Draw92%Tianjin Teda3%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

33'
🔁Qiuming Wangout: Guilherme Schettine
46'
🔁Chen Zhexuanout: Jiahui Huang
68'
🔁Zhenghao Wangout: Dun Ba
🔁He Yiranout: Liao Rongxiang
72'
🔁Wellington Silvaout: Iminqari Mutallep
81'
🔁Wang Dongshengout: Alex Jojo
88'
90+1'
⚽Alberto Quilesassist: Ming-Him Sun

Match stats — Chengdu Better City vs Tianjin Teda

71%Possession29%
3Shots3
0On target1
4Corners1

Line-ups

Chengdu Better City 4-2-3-1
  • 32Liu DianzuoG
  • 17Wang DongshengD
  • 22Yang LiD
  • 28Egor SorokinD
  • 4He YiranD
  • 16Yang Ming-YangM
  • 5Matheus JussaM
  • 11Wellington SilvaM
  • 10RômuloM
  • 2Hu HetaoM
  • 20Wang ZimingF
Substitutes
  • 58Liao RongxiangM
  • 29Iminqari MutallepM
  • 3Alex JojoD
  • 15Weifeng RanG
  • 1Tao JianG
  • 19Dong YanfengD
  • 48Li MoyuF
  • 45Ezimet QeyserF
  • 39Gan ChaoM
Tianjin Teda 5-4-1
  • 25Yan BingliangG
  • 3Zhenghao WangD
  • 11Xie WeijunD
  • 18Aitor CórdobaD
  • 6Xianjun WangD
  • 31Ming-Him SunD
  • 8Bruno XadasM
  • 24Chen ZhexuanM
  • 10Cristian SalvadorM
  • 30Qiuming WangM
  • 9Alberto QuilesF
Substitutes
  • 7Guilherme SchettineF
  • 14Jiahui HuangM
  • 29Dun BaM
  • 21Qi YuxiG
  • 38Shuaiqi LiD
  • 16Shuai LiuM
  • 17Xinghan WuD
  • 22Li YongjiaM
  • 40Shi YanM

Form going into Chengdu Better City vs Tianjin Teda

Chengdu Better City

Super League

  • D0-0away to Henan Jianye6 September 2026

Tianjin Teda

Super League

  • W1-0Shenyang Urban12 September 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

China Super League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
2Chengdu Better City3015785338+1552
12Tianjin Teda30118114038+231

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Chengdu Better City vs Tianjin Teda

  • 15 May 2026Tianjin Teda 1–2 Chengdu Better CitySuper League
  • 18 July 2025Tianjin Teda 2–1 Chengdu Better CitySuper League
  • 2 March 2025Chengdu Better City 1–2 Tianjin TedaSuper League
  • 12 July 2024Chengdu Better City 2–1 Tianjin TedaSuper League
  • 6 April 2024Tianjin Teda 2–3 Chengdu Better CitySuper League

Leading scorers: Chengdu Better City and Tianjin Teda

Chengdu Better City

GoalsAssists

  • Felipe183
  • Wellington Silva106

Tianjin Teda

GoalsAssists

  • Alberto Quiles115

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Tianjin Teda won 1–0 at Chengdu Better City. The model had leaned towards a win for Chengdu Better City at 49% and given a win for Tianjin Teda 24%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goal: Alberto Quiles 90+1' for Tianjin Teda.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Tianjin Teda a 39.3% chance to finish in the bottom three: 16.9% after a win, 37.1% after a draw, 49.7% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 16.9%, 22.4 points lower than before the match.

Read from our Super League season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on Chengdu Better City v Tianjin Teda has moved

First published on 26 Sep at 46% / 28% / 26% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 2 updates, it read 49% / 27% / 24%: the biggest move is Chengdu Better City's chance of winning, up 3 points.

  1. Chengdu Better City win49%▲ +3
  2. Draw27%▼ −1
  3. Tianjin Teda win24%▼ −2

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.