Servette FC
vs
FC Sion
Super League prediction
Our model says: Servette FC 1–2 FC Sion
The model makes it 32% Servette FC, 29% draw, 39% FC Sion — fair odds of 3.13, 3.45 and 2.56. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
Expected goals: Servette FC 1.26, FC Sion 1.54.
Both teams to score: 57%. Over 2.5 goals: 53%, under 2.5: 47%.
Model confidence: Low.
Published
Live win probability
From kick-offThese update every few seconds once the match kicks off, as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards. The second figure is fair odds — 100 ÷ probability, the price with no margin in it.
Model insights: Servette FC vs FC Sion
Has the model earned this number?
It puts FC Sion at 39% here. Across 2837 settled matches, 2175 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Servette FC vs FC Sion
Servette FC
- L2-3away to BSC Young Boys19 September 2026
- W4-2away to FC Thun16 September 2026
- W1-0away to Lausanne13 September 2026
- L0-2FC St. Gallen6 September 2026
- L0-1away to FC Lugano3 September 2026
FC Sion
- D1-1FC Zurich19 September 2026
- W5-2away to Grasshoppers15 September 2026
- W3-0away to FC St. Gallen12 September 2026
- W3-2FC Thun6 September 2026
- W2-1away to FC Basel 18933 September 2026
What these results say
- Servette FC conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- FC Sion went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
- FC Sion scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- FC Sion won 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Super League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Servette FC | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 10 |
| 3 | FC Sion | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 14 | +9 | 19 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: Servette FC vs FC Sion
- 28 February 2026Servette FC 0–0 FC SionSuper League
- 31 January 2026Servette FC 3–3 FC SionSuper League
- 17 September 2025FC Sion 0–2 Servette FCSuper League
- 13 April 2025FC Sion 1–1 Servette FCSuper League
- 4 February 2025FC Sion 3–3 Servette FCSuper League
- 19 October 2024Servette FC 3–0 FC SionSuper League
Leading scorers: Servette FC and FC Sion
Servette FC
No player in Super League's leading scorers — 11 league goals as a side.
FC Sion
- Winsley Boteli Mokango6 goals4 assists
- J. Lukembila3 goals4 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
The two sides
Servette FC carry a model rating of 6.51 against 6.71 for FC Sion. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
What the model expects
Under the hood the model expects 1.26 goals for Servette FC and 1.54 for FC Sion. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Servette FC rate 0.64 in attack and 1.27 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; FC Sion rate 0.80 and 1.06.
The rest of the season
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives Servette FC a 0% chance of the title and FC Sion 7.7%, from 10000 simulated seasons.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1326 correct results out of 2837 settled predictions (47%), with 271 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
From the first whistle this page keeps going: the win probabilities at the top are recalculated as the match plays out, reading the score, the clock and any sendings-off. The same model, asked how many goals are left rather than how many there will be.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives FC Sion the highest probability at 39%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.26 expected goals for Servette FC against 1.54 for FC Sion. Servette FC's attack/defence rating is 0.64/1.27 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.8/1.06 for FC Sion.