Lausanne vs FC Lugano Super League prediction & result
Final score: Lausanne 0-4 FC Lugano.
Before kick-off the model made it 31% Lausanne, 31% draw, 38% FC Lugano — fair odds of 3.23, 3.23 and 2.63. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All Swiss Super League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts FC Lugano at 38% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 3,919 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Lausanne vs FC Lugano
Line-ups
- 90M. MastilG
- 4É. YoutéD
- 71K. SowD
- 31N. CozzaD
- 2B. SoppyM
- 80S. KonéM
- 88K. KoindrediM
- 18M. PoatyM
- 51I. Bah Mendes MayalaF
- 78Omar JannehF
- 9E. MolébéF
- 6T. BergvallD
- 7A. AjdiniF
- 11N. Butler-OyedejiF
- 1T. CastellaG
- 91F. MolletM
- 47Papa Souleymane N'DiayeM
- 77L. NeneF
- 5D. NgonzoD
- 17S. TraoreF
- 16D. von BallmoosG
- 6A. PapadopoulosD
- 17L. MaiD
- 3H. DelcroixD
- 2B. KarimovM
- 25U. BislimiM
- 8A. GrgićM
- 27Daniel Dos SantosM
- 21Y. CimignaniM
- 22B. CastroM
- 30D. MoncadaF
- 9A. AjetiF
- 23G. AjdinM
- 18J. BichselD
- 26Martim MarquesD
- 46M. ZanottiD
- 28F. GebhardtG
- 4D. KelvinD
- 14A. KendouciM
- 44João Victor Schlickmann CarboneD
Form going into Lausanne vs FC Lugano
Lausanne
Super League
- L0-1Servette FC13 September 2026
- L1-3away to FC Vaduz5 September 2026
FC Lugano
Super League
- W4-1FC St. Gallen16 September 2026
- D2-2BSC Young Boys12 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Super League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Lausanne | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 6 |
| 1 | FC Lugano | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 34 | 9 | +25 | 31 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Lausanne vs FC Lugano
- 22 February 2026FC Lugano 2–1 LausanneSuper League
- 7 December 2025Lausanne 0–0 FC LuganoSuper League
- 17 September 2025FC Lugano 1–1 LausanneSuper League
- 18 May 2025Lausanne 1–1 FC LuganoSuper League
- 21 April 2025Lausanne 2–0 FC LuganoSuper League
Leading scorers: Lausanne and FC Lugano
Lausanne
No player in Super League's leading scorers — 7 league goals as a side.
FC Lugano
GoalsAssists
- D. Moncada51
- Daniel Dos Santos41
- H. Delcroix32
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
FC Lugano won 4–0 at Lausanne. The model had made a win for FC Lugano its most likely outcome, at 38%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Hannes Delcroix 35' for FC Lugano, Hannes Delcroix 48' for FC Lugano, Hannes Delcroix 52' for FC Lugano, Abdou Karim Sow (own goal) 61' for FC Lugano. Sent off: Sekou Kone (Lausanne) 50'.
How the call on Lausanne v FC Lugano has moved
First published on 6 Sep at 34% / 31% / 35% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 3 updates, it read 31% / 31% / 38%: the biggest move is Lausanne's chance of winning, down 3 points.
- Lausanne win31%▼ −3
- Draw31%=
- FC Lugano win38%▲ +3
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.