Union Santa Fe vs Central Cordoba de Santiago Liga Profesional Argentina prediction & result
Final score: Union Santa Fe 1-2 Central Cordoba de Santiago.
Before kick-off the model made it 59% Union Santa Fe, 18% draw, 23% Central Cordoba de Santiago — fair odds of 1.69, 5.56 and 4.35.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Liga Profesional Argentina predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Union Santa Fe at 59%: of 1,622 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.4% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Union Santa Fe vs Central Cordoba de Santiago
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 21M. MansillaG
- 35L. VargasD
- 2M. RodriguezD
- 26J. LuduenaD
- 12B. PittonD
- 5L. MenossiM
- 17J. MosqueiraM
- 20J. PalaciosM
- 31M. AguirreM
- 10I. MalcorraM
- 25C. TarragonaF
- 40L. MeuliG
- 15J. PintadoD
- 22B. CuelloM
- 29S. VeraM
- 8E. GiacconeM
- 46S. GrellaM
- 36M. AimarD
- 18L. AyalaD
- 43E. RamirezF
- 1A. AguerreG
- 20F. MartinezD
- 2A. R. MacielD
- 6F. MansillaD
- 23D. CaceresD
- 22M. VeraM
- 11H. TijanovichM
- 28L. SequeiraM
- 18L. GonzalezM
- 7D. BarreraM
- 27M. SantosF
- 25J. VallejosG
- 21F. AguilarD
- 33S. MoyanoD
- 10M. IacobellisM
- 5T. CraveroM
- 19E. NayaF
- 13J. GomezD
- 55J. CardozoM
- 17Y. CasermeiroD
Form going into Union Santa Fe vs Central Cordoba de Santiago
Union Santa Fe
All competitions we cover
- W2-1Lanus6 August 2026
- L0-2away to Gimnasia Mendoza1 August 2026
- D2-2away to Platense25 July 2026
Central Cordoba de Santiago
All competitions we cover
- W1-0San Lorenzo4 August 2026
- L0-2Atletico Tucuman31 July 2026
- L0-1away to Gimnasia Mendoza24 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Liga Profesional Argentina table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Union Santa Fe | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 21 |
| 15 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 26 | -14 | 11 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Union Santa Fe vs Central Cordoba de Santiago
- 7 February 2026Central Cordoba de Santiago 1–0 Union Santa FeLiga Profesional Argentina
- 10 October 2025Central Cordoba de Santiago 3–1 Union Santa FeLiga Profesional Argentina
- 6 April 2025Union Santa Fe 1–0 Central Cordoba de SantiagoLiga Profesional Argentina
- 4 October 2024Union Santa Fe 0–2 Central Cordoba de SantiagoLiga Profesional Argentina
- 19 March 2024Union Santa Fe 2–2 Central Cordoba de SantiagoCopa de la Liga Profesional
The full Union Santa Fe vs Central Cordoba de Santiago record →
Leading scorers: Union Santa Fe and Central Cordoba de Santiago
Union Santa Fe
GoalsAssists
- C. Tarragona172
Central Cordoba de Santiago
GoalsAssists
- M. Santos92
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Central Cordoba de Santiago won 2–1 at Union Santa Fe. The model had leaned towards a win for Union Santa Fe at 59% and given a win for Central Cordoba de Santiago 23%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: L. Menossi 17' for Union Santa Fe, M. Santos 51' for Central Cordoba de Santiago, F. Mansilla 54' for Central Cordoba de Santiago. On expected goals it finished 1.58–0.55.