30 July 2026, 18:00 UTC

Ballkani vs Bohemians UEFA Europa Conference League prediction & result

Stadiumi Fadil Vokrri, Pristina
Full time3 – 2

Final score: Ballkani 3-2 Bohemians.

Before kick-off the model made it 24% Ballkani, 26% draw, 50% Bohemians — fair odds of 4.17, 3.85 and 2.00. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 0-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

The tie

Second leg of the UEFA Europa Conference League 2nd Qualifying Round tie. First leg: Bohemians 2–1 Ballkani (22 Jul) →

Bohemians went through on penalties, after 4–4 on aggregate.

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Bohemians at 50% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 1,294 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 57.0% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.4%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Ballkani95%Draw5%Bohemians0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽V. Serebe
10'
20'
⚽D. James-Taylor (pen)
30'
Darragh Power
⚽Giovanniassist: V. Serebe
50'
Toni Domgjoni
51'
⚽T. Domgjoniassist: V. Serebe
58'
64'
🔁A. McDonnellout: C. Whelan
64'
🔁D. James-Taylorout: D. Rooney
Anel Šabanadžović
68'
🔁E. Ajazajout: A. Diene
72'
🔁V. Serebeout: A. Klinaku
72'
🔁Giovanniout: A. Berisha
72'
75'
🔁D. Powerout: C. Parsons
75'
🔁S. Mullenout: M. Strods
🔁E. Kucout: M. Ismajlgeci
86'
88'
⚽P. Hickeyassist: C. Whelan
90+2'
Dawson Devoy
95'
Connor Parsons
98'
🔁H. Vaughanout: C. Byrne
🔁A. Sabanadzovicout: A. Deliu
102'
🔁T. Domgjoniout: B. Jashanica
102'
Diar Vokrri
104'
Abou Dosso
116'

Line-ups

Ballkani 4-3-3
  • 25A. GolubovicG
  • 6D. Vokrri
  • 28I. BatareloD
  • 4G. HaliliD
  • 12A. Dosso
  • 5A. Sabanadzovic
  • 20E. Kuc
  • 8T. DomgjoniM
  • 10GiovanniM
  • 9V. SerebeF
  • 19E. Ajazaj
Substitutes
  • 1A. NikaG
  • 13I. BytyqiG
  • 14M. Ismajlgeci
  • 15R. ZekajD
  • 21A. DeliuM
  • 22E. LetajD
  • 23L. DobratiqiM
  • 29A. Diene
  • 30A. KlinakuM
Coach: Mislav Karoglan
Bohemians 5-4-1
  • 25P. WaltersG
  • 16D. PowerD
  • 12P. HickeyD
  • 22S. ToddD
  • 6J. FloresD
  • 15S. MullenD
  • 8H. VaughanM
  • 17A. McDonnellM
  • 10D. DevoyM
  • 26R. TierneyM
  • 18D. James-TaylorF
Substitutes
  • 1K. ChorazkaG
  • 30F. McDonnellG
  • 3R. BurkeD
  • 4N. MorahanD
  • 7C. ParsonsM
  • 9C. WhelanF
  • 11D. RooneyM
  • 23Z. MyersM
  • 24C. Byrne
Coach: Alan Reynolds

Form going into Ballkani vs Bohemians

Ballkani

All competitions we cover

  • L1-2away to Bohemians22 July 2026

Bohemians

All competitions we cover

  • W2-1Ballkani22 July 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Head-to-head: Ballkani vs Bohemians

  • 22 July 2026Bohemians 2–1 BallkaniUEFA Europa Conference League

Leading scorers: Ballkani and Bohemians

Ballkani

No leading scorers listed yet.

Bohemians

GoalsAssists

  • C. Whelan136
  • R. Tierney113

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Ballkani beat Bohemians 3–2. The model had leaned towards a win for Bohemians at 50% and given a win for Ballkani 24%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: V. Serebe 10' for Ballkani, D. James-Taylor (penalty) 20' for Bohemians, Giovanni 50' for Ballkani, T. Domgjoni 58' for Ballkani, P. Hickey 88' for Bohemians.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.