30 July 2026, 18:00 UTC

Ballkani vs Bohemians UEFA Europa Conference League prediction & result

Stadiumi Fadil Vokrri, Pristina
Full time3 – 2

Final score: Ballkani 3-2 Bohemians.

Before kick-off the model made it 24% Ballkani, 26% draw, 50% Bohemians — fair odds of 4.17, 3.85 and 2.00. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 0-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Bohemians at 50% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 630 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Ballkani95%Draw5%Bohemians0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽V. Serebe
10'
20'
⚽D. James-Taylor (pen)
30'
Darragh Power
⚽Giovanniassist: V. Serebe
50'
Toni Domgjoni
51'
⚽T. Domgjoniassist: V. Serebe
58'
64'
🔁A. McDonnellout: C. Whelan
64'
🔁D. James-Taylorout: D. Rooney
Anel Šabanadžović
68'
🔁E. Ajazajout: A. Diene
72'
🔁V. Serebeout: A. Klinaku
72'
🔁Giovanniout: A. Berisha
72'
75'
🔁D. Powerout: C. Parsons
75'
🔁S. Mullenout: M. Strods
🔁E. Kucout: M. Ismajlgeci
86'
88'
⚽P. Hickeyassist: C. Whelan
90+2'
Dawson Devoy
95'
Connor Parsons
98'
🔁H. Vaughanout: C. Byrne
🔁A. Sabanadzovicout: A. Deliu
102'
🔁T. Domgjoniout: B. Jashanica
102'
Diar Vokrri
104'
Abou Dosso
116'

Line-ups

Ballkani 4-3-3
  • 25A. GolubovicG
  • 6D. Vokrri
  • 28I. BatareloD
  • 4G. HaliliD
  • 12A. Dosso
  • 5A. Sabanadzovic
  • 20E. Kuc
  • 8T. DomgjoniM
  • 10GiovanniM
  • 9V. SerebeF
  • 19E. Ajazaj
Substitutes
  • 1A. NikaG
  • 13I. BytyqiG
  • 14M. Ismajlgeci
  • 15R. ZekajD
  • 21A. DeliuM
  • 22E. LetajD
  • 23L. DobratiqiM
  • 29A. Diene
  • 30A. KlinakuM
Coach: Mislav Karoglan
Bohemians 5-4-1
  • 25P. WaltersG
  • 16D. PowerD
  • 12P. HickeyD
  • 22S. ToddD
  • 6J. FloresD
  • 15S. MullenD
  • 8H. VaughanM
  • 17A. McDonnellM
  • 10D. DevoyM
  • 26R. TierneyM
  • 18D. James-TaylorF
Substitutes
  • 1K. ChorazkaG
  • 30F. McDonnellG
  • 3R. BurkeD
  • 4N. MorahanD
  • 7C. ParsonsM
  • 9C. WhelanF
  • 11D. RooneyM
  • 23Z. MyersM
  • 24C. Byrne
Coach: Alan Reynolds

Form going into Ballkani vs Bohemians

Ballkani

  • L1-2away to Bohemians22 July 2026

Bohemians

  • W2-1Ballkani22 July 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Head-to-head: Ballkani vs Bohemians

  • 30 July 2026Ballkani 1–1 BohemiansUEFA Europa Conference League
  • 22 July 2026Bohemians 2–1 BallkaniUEFA Europa Conference League

Leading scorers: Ballkani and Bohemians

Ballkani

No leading scorers listed yet.

Bohemians

  • C. Whelan12 goals5 assists
  • R. Tierney9 goals3 assists

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.