Bohemians vs Ballkani UEFA Europa Conference League prediction & result
Final score: Bohemians 2-1 Ballkani.
Before kick-off the model made it 27% Bohemians, 50% draw, 23% Ballkani — fair odds of 3.70, 2.00 and 4.35. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 0-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
The tie
First leg of the UEFA Europa Conference League 2nd Qualifying Round tie. Second leg: Ballkani v Bohemians, 30 Jul →
Bohemians went through on penalties, after 4–4 on aggregate.
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Has the model earned this number?
It puts the draw at 50% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 1,294 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 57.0% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.4%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Line-ups
- 25Paul WaltersG
- 16Darragh PowerD
- 12Patrick HickeyD
- 22Sam ToddD
- 6Jordan FloresD
- 32Markuss StrodsM
- 10Dawson DevoyM
- 5Sadou DialloM
- 17Adam McDonnellM
- 26Ross TierneyM
- 9Colm WhelanF
- 8Harry VaughanM
- 18Douglas James-TaylorF
- 24Cian ByrneD
- 11Dayle RooneyM
- 4Niall MorahanD
- 1Kacper ChorążkaG
- 30Finn McDonnellG
- 3Ryan BurkeD
- 15Senan MullenD
- 25Adnan GolubovićG
- 6Diar VokrriD
- 28Ivica BatareloD
- 4Gentrit HaliliD
- 12Abou DossoD
- 14Marsel IsmajlgeciM
- 20Edvin KučM
- 5Anel ŠabanadžovićM
- 9Valentin SerebeF
- 10GiovanniM
- 8Toni DomgjoniM
- 21Ardit DeliuM
- 22Elvis LetajD
- 32Bajram JashanicaD
- 29Albert DièneM
- 30Almedin KlinakuM
- 1Ardit NikaG
- 15Redon ZekajD
- 92Elmando GjiniD
- 19Engjell AjazajM
Leading scorers: Bohemians and Ballkani
Bohemians
GoalsAssists
- C. Whelan136
- R. Tierney113
Ballkani
No leading scorers listed yet.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Bohemians beat Ballkani 2–1. The model had leaned towards a draw at 50% and given a win for Bohemians 27%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: T. Domgjoni (penalty) 29' for Ballkani, D. James-Taylor 76' for Bohemians, R. Tierney 89' for Bohemians.