UEFA Europa Conference League · 2nd Qualifying Round · 30 July 2026, 19:00 UTC

Dinamo Tirana vs Aluminij

Elbasan Arena, Elbasani

The model makes it 38% Dinamo Tirana, 27% draw, 35% Aluminij — fair odds of 2.63, 3.70 and 2.86. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

Expected goals: Dinamo Tirana 1.35, Aluminij 1.28.

Both teams to score: 54%. Over 2.5 goals: 49%, under 2.5: 51%.

Model confidence: Low.

Model insights

54%
Both teams to score
49%
Over 2.5 goals
51%
Under 2.5 goals
Most likely scorelines1-1 13%1-0 9%0-1 9%

Head-to-head: Dinamo Tirana vs Aluminij

  • 23 July 2026Aluminij 1–1 Dinamo TiranaUEFA Europa Conference League
Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.

Team comparison

Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.

Why the model favours this side

The model gives Dinamo Tirana the highest probability at 38%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.35 expected goals for Dinamo Tirana against 1.28 for Aluminij. Dinamo Tirana's attack/defence rating is 0.41/2.34 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.39/1.74 for Aluminij.