30 July 2026, 18:30 UTC

CFR 1907 Cluj vs Alashkert UEFA Europa Conference League prediction & result

Cluj-Napoca
Full time3 – 0

Final score: CFR 1907 Cluj 3-0 Alashkert.

Before kick-off the model made it 64% CFR 1907 Cluj, 22% draw, 14% Alashkert — fair odds of 1.56, 4.55 and 7.14. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts CFR 1907 Cluj at 64% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 630 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

CFR 1907 Cluj99%Draw1%Alashkert0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽K. Muharassist: S. Drazic
3'
12'
Cézar Henrique
14'
🔁J. Saboboout: I. D. Nduka
⚽M. Korenicaassist: S. Drazic
45'
Damjan Đoković
49'
🔁K. Muharout: A. Paun
71'
🔁M. Korenicaout: A. Sfait
71'
75'
🔁H. Hakobyanout: A. Sadoyan
75'
🔁M. Toureout: P. Ejike
⚽A. Fica
77'
80'
David Terteryan
🔁A. Ficaout: O. Perianu
83'
🔁S. Drazicout: L. Biliboc
83'
🔁C. Braunout: M. Camora
83'
83'
🔁K. Nalbandyanout: D. J. Massoumou
83'
🔁D. Terteryanout: J. Granado

Line-ups

CFR 1907 Cluj 4-3-3
  • 31O. ValceanuG
  • 47C. BraunD
  • 42R. PantalonD
  • 3A. AbeidD
  • 14S. RochaD
  • 73K. MuharM
  • 88D. DjokovicM
  • 8A. FicaM
  • 11A. CordeaM
  • 9S. DrazicF
  • 7M. KorenicaF
Substitutes
  • 1R. GalG
  • 93M. FilipG
  • 6O. PerianuM
  • 10A. PaunM
  • 17L. BilibocF
  • 22M. MiclausM
  • 26R. GligorM
  • 45M. CamoraD
  • 77A. SfaitF
Coach: Antonio Folha
Alashkert 4-3-3
  • 24A. BeglaryanG
  • 5D. TerteryanD
  • 4Y. Matyukhin
  • 3CezarD
  • 55H. HakobyanD
  • 8E. PiloyanM
  • 7K. NalbandyanM
  • 88Rafael JesusM
  • 10O. FarayolaM
  • 11M. ToureF
  • 17J. SaboboM
Substitutes
  • 99I. SesayM
  • 6H. AdebayoM
  • 14D. J. MassoumouM
  • 15A. SadoyanD
  • 18I. D. NdukaM
  • 19P. EjikeF
  • 20D. TogolaM
  • 21J. GranadoM
  • 22R. HakobyanD
Coach: Vahe Gevorgyan

Form going into CFR 1907 Cluj vs Alashkert

CFR 1907 Cluj

  • W5-0FC Voluntari27 July 2026
  • D1-1away to Alashkert23 July 2026
  • L1-2away to Oțelul18 July 2026

Alashkert

  • D1-1CFR 1907 Cluj23 July 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Head-to-head: CFR 1907 Cluj vs Alashkert

  • 23 July 2026Alashkert 1–1 CFR 1907 ClujUEFA Europa Conference League
  • 16 August 2018CFR 1907 Cluj 5–0 AlashkertUEFA Europa League
  • 9 August 2018Alashkert 0–2 CFR 1907 ClujUEFA Europa League

Leading scorers: CFR 1907 Cluj and Alashkert

CFR 1907 Cluj

  • A. Cordea5 goals
  • S. Dražić4 goals1 assists

Alashkert

No leading scorers listed yet.

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.