Chadormalu SC vs Kheybar Khorramabad Persian Gulf Pro League prediction & result
Final score: Chadormalu SC 2-2 Kheybar Khorramabad.
Before kick-off the model made it 46% Chadormalu SC, 25% draw, 29% Kheybar Khorramabad — fair odds of 2.17, 4.00 and 3.45. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
It puts Chadormalu SC at 46% here. Across 3,660 settled matches (as of 14 October 2026), 1,712 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.8% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Form going into Chadormalu SC vs Kheybar Khorramabad
Chadormalu SC
- W2-1away to Sanat Naft12 September 2026
- W1-0Shams Azar Qazvin6 September 2026
- D1-1away to Esteghlal Khuzestan1 September 2026
- L0-2Tractor Sazi28 August 2026
Kheybar Khorramabad
- L0-1away to Nassaji Mazandaran7 September 2026
- W2-0Foolad FC2 September 2026
- D2-2away to Aluminium Arak28 August 2026
- L2-3Paykan24 August 2026
What these results say
- Chadormalu SC scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Chadormalu SC conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
- 3 of these 4 matches for Chadormalu SC had two goals or fewer.
- Kheybar Khorramabad failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
- Kheybar Khorramabad scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Kheybar Khorramabad conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Persian Gulf Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Chadormalu SC | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 9 |
| 13 | Kheybar Khorramabad | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 7 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Chadormalu SC vs Kheybar Khorramabad
- 9 October 2026Chadormalu SC 2–2 Kheybar KhorramabadPersian Gulf Pro League
- 27 February 2026Kheybar Khorramabad 0–2 Chadormalu SCPersian Gulf Pro League
- 24 October 2025Chadormalu SC 2–1 Kheybar KhorramabadPersian Gulf Pro League
- 13 March 2025Kheybar Khorramabad 2–0 Chadormalu SCPersian Gulf Pro League
- 17 October 2024Chadormalu SC 1–0 Kheybar KhorramabadPersian Gulf Pro League
- 5 March 2024Kheybar Khorramabad 2–1 Chadormalu SCAzadegan League
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.