23 July 2026, 17:00 UTC

Hammarby FF vs Anderlecht UEFA Europa League prediction & result

3Arena, Stockholm
Full time1 – 1

Final score: Hammarby FF 1-1 Anderlecht.

Before kick-off the model made it 61% Hammarby FF, 21% draw, 18% Anderlecht — fair odds of 1.64, 4.76 and 5.56. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Hammarby FF at 61% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 630 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

6'
⚽D. Sikan
24'
Nathan-Dylan Saliba
27'
Ludwig Augustinsson
Frederik Winther
35'
Victor Eriksson
46'
55'
🔁L. Augustinssonout: M. N'Diaye
64'
🔁K. Ngaout: M. Cvetkovic
64'
🔁M. Kanaout: L. Ambros
🔁N. Besaraout: O. Johansson
75'
78'
Nathan-Dylan Saliba
78'
Nathan-Dylan Saliba
82'
🔁J. Onia Sekeout: Z. Keita
82'
🔁D. Sikanout: N. Kalonji Kafumpata
🔁V. Lindout: F. Adjei
86'
⚽F. Adjeiassist: P. Abraham
89'

Line-ups

Hammarby FF 4-3-3
  • 1W. HahnG
  • 2H. SkoglundD
  • 4V. ErikssonD
  • 3F. WintherD
  • 16N. PerssonD
  • 8M. KarlssonM
  • 5T. TekieM
  • 9V. LindM
  • 26M. MadjedM
  • 20N. BesaraM
  • 7P. AbrahamF
Substitutes
  • 25E. OpancarG
  • 27F. JakobssonG
  • 6I. FofanaD
  • 11O. JohanssonM
  • 15O. Hagen
  • 22W. Lindberg
  • 24W. ReneckeD
  • 28F. AdjeiM
  • 29E. KaboreF
Coach: Kalle Karlsson
Anderlecht 4-4-2
  • 26C. CoosemansG
  • 79A. MaamarD
  • 27L. PetrotD
  • 4G. BianconeD
  • 6L. AugustinssonD
  • 24E. LlansanaM
  • 55M. KanaD
  • 13N. SalibaM
  • 61K. NgaM
  • 14D. SikanF
  • 49J. Onia SekeM
Substitutes
  • 32J. HeekerenG
  • 2Z. Keita
  • 5M. N'DiayeD
  • 9M. Cvetkovic
  • 18L. AmbrosM
  • 20L. VazquezF
  • 29M. StroeykensM
  • 53N. CobiellaF
  • 62B. VroninksD
Coach: Vitor Bruno

Form going into Hammarby FF vs Anderlecht

Hammarby FF

  • W4-0Degerfors IF19 July 2026

Anderlecht

No earlier matches on record this season.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Hammarby FF and Anderlecht in their domestic leagues

#TeamLeaguePWDLGFGAGDPts
3Hammarby FFAllsvenskan2112454820+2840
7AnderlechtJupiler Pro League631245-110

Each side's position in its own domestic league today, not on the day of this match — they meet here from different competitions. Full tables: Allsvenskan · Jupiler Pro League

Head-to-head: Hammarby FF vs Anderlecht

  • 23 July 2026Hammarby FF 1–1 AnderlechtUEFA Europa League

Leading scorers: Hammarby FF and Anderlecht

Hammarby FF

  • P. Abraham13 goals3 assists
  • V. Lind9 goals11 assists

Anderlecht

No player in Jupiler Pro League's leading scorers — 4 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.