Al Wakrah
vs
Al-Sailiya
Stars League prediction
Our model says: Al Wakrah 2–1 Al-Sailiya
The model makes it 59% Al Wakrah, 20% draw, 21% Al-Sailiya — fair odds of 1.69, 5.00 and 4.76.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1 (9%).
Expected goals: Al Wakrah 2.64, Al-Sailiya 1.39.
Both teams to score: 70%. Over 2.5 goals: 77%, under 2.5: 23%.
Model confidence: High — calls at this level have come off 61% of the time, over 2,130 settled matches.
One-sided: Al Wakrah are clearly the stronger team on the model's ratings. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 68%, 20% were drawn and the underdog won 12%.
Published
Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 13 November 2026. Al Wakrah's rating is built from 31 Qatar Stars League matches and Al-Sailiya's from 31, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most. Goal level and home advantage are this competition's own, measured over 319 matches.
Key facts
- Al Wakrah are 8th on 11 points from 9 games; Al-Sailiya are bottom on 1 point from 9 games — Stars League.
- Al Wakrah have won 3 of their last 5 games, most recently a 0-3 defeat at home to Al Shahaniya.
- Al-Sailiya have not won in their last 5 games, most recently a 0-5 defeat away to Al Shamal.
- Last 6 meetings: Al Wakrah 5 wins to 0, 1 draw; the most recent, 20 September 2026, ended Al Wakrah 1–0 Al-Sailiya.
More Qatar Stars League predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Al Wakrah vs Al-Sailiya
Has the model earned this number?
Al Wakrah at 59%: of 1,625 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.5% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into Al Wakrah vs Al-Sailiya
Al Wakrah
Stars League
- L0-3Al Shahaniya6 November 2026
- L1-3away to Al-Duhail SC31 October 2026
- W3-2Al-Arabi SC24 October 2026
- W3-0away to Al Ahli Doha16 October 2026
- W3-2Al-Gharafa8 October 2026
Al-Sailiya
Stars League
- L0-5away to Al Shamal7 November 2026
- L1-2Lusail City31 October 2026
- L1-6Al-Rayyan SC23 October 2026
- D2-2Qatar SC17 October 2026
- L0-5away to Al Ahli Doha10 October 2026
What these results say
- Every one of these 5 matches for Al Wakrah had three goals or more.
- Al Wakrah scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Al Wakrah conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Al-Sailiya did not win any of these 5 matches.
- Al-Sailiya conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Every one of these 5 matches for Al-Sailiya had three goals or more.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Stars League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Al Wakrah | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 11 |
| 12 | Al-Sailiya | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 33 | -24 | 1 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: Al Wakrah vs Al-Sailiya
- 20 September 2026Al Wakrah 1–0 Al-SailiyaQSL Cup
- 27 April 2026Al Wakrah 3–1 Al-SailiyaStars League
- 12 February 2026Al Wakrah 2–0 Al-SailiyaEmir Cup
- 28 December 2025Al-Sailiya 0–0 Al WakrahStars League
- 8 May 2023Al-Sailiya 0–1 Al WakrahStars League
- 24 January 2023Al Wakrah 5–0 Al-SailiyaStars League
Leading scorers: Al Wakrah and Al-Sailiya
Al Wakrah
GoalsAssists
- B. Bounedjah40
Al-Sailiya
No player in Stars League's leading scorers — 9 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
Team comparison
Each side's share of the two-team total. How to read this.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Al Wakrah the highest probability at 59%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 2.64 expected goals for Al Wakrah against 1.39 for Al-Sailiya. Al Wakrah's attack/defence rating is 0.61/1.75 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.45/2.42 for Al-Sailiya.
How the model reaches 59% for Al Wakrah to win
Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 38% for Al Wakrah to win. Then home advantage changes nothing, Al Wakrah's ratings add 10 points and Al-Sailiya's ratings add 11 points, which lands on the published 59%.
- Two average sides, neutral ground38%
- Home advantage38%±0
- Al Wakrah's ratings48%+10
- Al-Sailiya's ratings59%+11
Each step adds one input to the step before. How to read this.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.
Season stats
Al Wakrah at home · Al-Sailiya away
League matches only, Stars League, this season; per game, from API-Football. How to read this.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Stars League matches this season: Al Wakrah 9, Al-Sailiya 9.
Al Wakrah score most often in the 76–90 minute window (6 goals); Al-Sailiya have let in 2 there.
Al-Sailiya score most often in the 76–90 minute window (5 goals); Al Wakrah have let in 4 there.
League goals by 15-minute window, from API-Football. Context, not a prediction. How to read this.
Next match, by difficulty
Al Wakrah
- vs Al Sadd3 Dec · Stars Leaguewin 22%
Al-Sailiya
- vs Al-Gharafa3 Dec · Stars Leaguewin 22%
Each side's next matches after this one, coloured by the opponent's strength. How to read this.