Al-Duhail SC
vs
Qatar SC
Stars League prediction
Our model says: Al-Duhail SC 2–0 Qatar SC
The model makes it 61% Al-Duhail SC, 22% draw, 17% Qatar SC — fair odds of 1.64, 4.55 and 5.88.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0 (10%).
Expected goals: Al-Duhail SC 2.33, Qatar SC 0.99.
Both teams to score: 57%. Over 2.5 goals: 64%, under 2.5: 36%.
Model confidence: High — calls at this level have come off 61% of the time, over 2,130 settled matches.
One-sided: Al-Duhail SC are clearly the stronger team on the model's ratings. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 68%, 20% were drawn and the underdog won 12%.
Published
Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 13 November 2026. Al-Duhail SC's rating is built from 31 Qatar Stars League matches and Qatar SC's from 31, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most. Goal level and home advantage are this competition's own, measured over 319 matches.
Key facts
- Al-Duhail SC are 2nd on 21 points from 9 games; Qatar SC are 11th on 6 points from 9 games — Stars League.
- Al-Duhail SC are unbeaten in their last 5 games (5 won), most recently a 2-1 win away to Al-Gharafa.
- Qatar SC have won 1 of their last 5 games, most recently a 2-3 defeat away to Lusail City.
- Last 6 meetings: Al-Duhail SC 5 wins to 1, 0 draws; the most recent, 27 April 2026, ended Qatar SC 1–2 Al-Duhail SC.
More Qatar Stars League predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Al-Duhail SC vs Qatar SC
Has the model earned this number?
Al-Duhail SC at 61%: of 1,625 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.5% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into Al-Duhail SC vs Qatar SC
Al-Duhail SC
Stars League
- W2-1away to Al-Gharafa7 November 2026
- W3-1Al Wakrah31 October 2026
- W3-1Lusail City24 October 2026
- W3-2away to Al Sadd18 October 2026
- W4-0away to Al Shamal8 October 2026
Qatar SC
Stars League
- L2-3away to Lusail City8 November 2026
- L0-2away to Al-Gharafa30 October 2026
- W3-2away to Al Shamal23 October 2026
- D2-2away to Al-Sailiya17 October 2026
- L0-3Al-Rayyan SC9 October 2026
What these results say
- Al-Duhail SC won every one of these 5 matches.
- Al-Duhail SC scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Every one of these 5 matches for Al-Duhail SC had three goals or more.
- Qatar SC conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Qatar SC failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Qatar SC had three goals or more.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Stars League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Al-Duhail SC | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 20 | 8 | +12 | 21 |
| 11 | Qatar SC | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 6 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: Al-Duhail SC vs Qatar SC
- 27 April 2026Qatar SC 1–2 Al-Duhail SCStars League
- 28 December 2025Al-Duhail SC 1–0 Qatar SCStars League
- 12 January 2025Al-Duhail SC 4–1 Qatar SCStars League
- 30 August 2024Al-Duhail SC 2–1 Qatar SCQSL Cup
- 10 August 2024Qatar SC 1–6 Al-Duhail SCStars League
- 28 April 2024Qatar SC 4–2 Al-Duhail SCStars League
Leading scorers: Al-Duhail SC and Qatar SC
Al-Duhail SC
GoalsAssists
- K. Piątek33
- Almoez Ali30
- B. Soumaré30
Qatar SC
GoalsAssists
- João Pedro41
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The rest of the season
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives Al-Duhail SC a 39.8% chance of the title and Qatar SC 0%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.
Team comparison
Each side's share of the two-team total. How to read this.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Al-Duhail SC the highest probability at 61%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 2.33 expected goals for Al-Duhail SC against 0.99 for Qatar SC. Al-Duhail SC's attack/defence rating is 0.72/1.1 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.51/1.81 for Qatar SC.
How the model reaches 61% for Al-Duhail SC to win
Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 38% for Al-Duhail SC to win. Then home advantage changes nothing, the level of the two sides takes away 1 point, Al-Duhail SC's ratings add 12 points and Qatar SC's ratings add 12 points, which lands on the published 61%.
- Two average sides, neutral ground38%
- Home advantage38%±0
- Both sides at this match's level37%−1
- Al-Duhail SC's ratings49%+12
- Qatar SC's ratings61%+12
Each step adds one input to the step before. How to read this.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.
Season stats
Al-Duhail SC at home · Qatar SC away
League matches only, Stars League, this season; per game, from API-Football. How to read this.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Stars League matches this season: Al-Duhail SC 9, Qatar SC 9.
Al-Duhail SC score most often in the 61–75 minute window (6 goals); Qatar SC have let in 5 there.
League goals by 15-minute window, from API-Football. Context, not a prediction. How to read this.
Next match, by difficulty
Al-Duhail SC
- at Al Ahli Doha3 Dec · Stars Leaguewin 54%
Qatar SC
- vs Al Shahaniya3 Dec · Stars Leaguewin 37%
Each side's next matches after this one, coloured by the opponent's strength. How to read this.